Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32451428›Full record

ArticleNature ecology & evolution2020

Species better track climate warming in the oceans than on land.

Jonathan Lenoir, Romain Bertrand, Lise Comte, Luana Bourgeaud, Tarek Hattab, Jérôme Murienne, Gaël Grenouillet

Open access · greenAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 188 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
188citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
74.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

188 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 819 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  9. Shifts and expansion in a spatially structured fish stock spanning international borders in the Northwest Atlantic.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026
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  17. A general framework for predicting the ecological effects of range expansions in marine systems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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128 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Jonathan Lenoir *Ecologie et Dynamique des Systèmes Anthropisés (EDYSAN), UMR7058, CNRS and Université de Picardie Jules Verne, Amiens, France. jonathan.lenoir@u-picardie.fr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0638-9582
Romain Bertrand *Centre for Biodiversity Theory and Modelling, Theoretical and Experimental Ecology Station, UMR5321, CNRS and Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier, Moulis, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2386-9174
Lise ComteSchool of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8030-0019
Luana BourgeaudLaboratoire Evolution et Diversité Biologique, UMR5174, Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier, CNRS, IRD and UPS, Toulouse, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5670-0469
Tarek HattabMARBEC, Univ Montpellier, CNRS, IFREMER and IRD, Sète, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1420-5758
Jérôme MurienneLaboratoire Evolution et Diversité Biologique, UMR5174, Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier, CNRS, IRD and UPS, Toulouse, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1474-7829
Gaël GrenouilletLaboratoire Evolution et Diversité Biologique, UMR5174, Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier, CNRS, IRD and UPS, Toulouse, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3588-3694
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FRUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

There is mounting evidence of species redistribution as climate warms. Yet, our knowledge of the coupling between species range shifts and isotherm shifts remains limited. Here, we introduce BioShifts-a global geo-database of 30,534 range shifts. Despite a spatial imbalance towards the most developed regions of the Northern Hemisphere and a taxonomic bias towards the most charismatic animals and plants of the planet, data show that marine species are better at tracking isotherm shifts, and move towards the pole six times faster than terrestrial species. More specifically, we find that marine species closely track shifting isotherms in warm and relatively undisturbed waters (for example, the Central Pacific Basin) or in cold waters subject to high human pressures (for example, the North Sea). On land, human activities impede the capacity of terrestrial species to track isotherm shifts in latitude, with some species shifting in the opposite direction to isotherms. Along elevational gradients, species follow the direction of isotherm shifts but at a pace that is much slower than expected, especially in areas with warm climates. Our results suggest that terrestrial species are lagging behind shifting isotherms more than marine species, which is probably related to the interplay between the wider thermal safety margin of terrestrial versus marine species and the more constrained physical environment for dispersal in terrestrial versus marine habitats.

Indexed as

ClimateClimate ChangeAnimalsEcosystemOceans and SeasPlants

Identifiers

PMID32451428
OpenAlexW3028232085

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.