Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32450362›Full record

ArticleClinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association2021

Calculation of Stop Ages for Colorectal Cancer Screening Based on Comorbidities and Screening History.

Dayna R Cenin, Jill Tinmouth, Steffie K Naber, Catherine Dubé, Bronwen R McCurdy, Lawrence Paszat, Linda Rabeneck, Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Article
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  11. Review
  12. Screening History and Comorbidities Help Refine Stop Ages for Colorectal Cancer Screening.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Dayna R CeninDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands; Centre for Health Services Research, School of Population and Global Health, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia, Australia. Electronic address: d.cenin@erasmusmc.nl.
Jill TinmouthDepartment of Medicine, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Institute for Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Steffie K NaberDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Catherine DubéCancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; The Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Bronwen R McCurdyCancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Lawrence PaszatInstitute for Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Linda RabeneckDepartment of Medicine, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Institute for Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Iris Lansdorp-VogelaarDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Cancer Care Ontario · CAErasmus MC · NLSunnybrook Health Science Centre · CAThe University of Western Australia · AUUniversity of Toronto · CA

Funding

Comparative Modeling of Colorectal Cancer: Informing Health Policies and Prioritizing Future ResearchU01CA199335 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI KUNTZ, KAREN M, LANSDORP-VOGELAAR, IRIS · 2015 to 2019
$5.5M
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA199335
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsRoutine screening for colorectal cancer typically is recommended until age 74 years. Although it has been proposed that a screening stop age could be determined based on sex and comorbidity, less is known about the impact of screening history. We investigated the effects of screening history on the selection of an optimal age to stop screening.

methodsWe used the Microsimulation Screening Analysis-Colon model to estimate the harms and benefits of screening with biennial fecal immunochemical tests by sex, comorbidity status, and screening history. The optimal screening stop age was determined based on the incremental number needed for 1 additional life-year per 1000 screened individuals compared with the threshold provided by stopping screening at 76 years in the average-health population with a perfect screening history (attended all required screening, diagnostic, and follow-up tests) to biennial fecal immunochemical testing from age 50 years.

resultsFor persons age 76 years, 157 women and 108 men with a perfect screening history would need to be screened to gain 1 life-year per 1000 screened individuals. Previously unscreened women with no comorbid conditions and no history of screening could undergo an initial screening through 90 years, whereas unscreened men could undergo initial screening through 88 years, before this balance is reached. As screening adherence improved or as comorbidities increased, the optimal age to stop screening decreased to a point that, regardless of sex, individuals with severe comorbidities and a perfect screening history should stop screening at age 66 years or younger.

conclusionsBased on the harm-benefit balance, the optimal stop age for colorectal cancer screening ranges from 66 years for unhealthy individuals with a perfect screening history to 90 years for healthy individuals without prior screening. These findings can be used to assist patients and clinicians in making decisions about screening participation.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerAgedAge FactorsColonoscopyComorbidityFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleMass ScreeningOccult BloodColon CancerDetectionPatient OutcomesPrecision Medicine

Identifiers

PMID32450362
PMCPMC7982961
OpenAlexW3027677173

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.