Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32448794›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2020

Hypothetical interventions and risk of myocardial infarction in a general population: application of the parametric g-formula in a longitudinal cohort study-the Tromsø Study.

Tom Wilsgaard, Anne Merete Vangen-Lønne, Ellisiv Mathiesen, Maja-Lisa Løchen, Inger Njølstad, Gerardo Heiss, Goodarz Danaei

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Tom WilsgaardDepartment of Community Medicine, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway tom.wilsgaard@uit.no.ORCID 0000-0002-2709-9472
Anne Merete Vangen-LønneDepartment of Neurology, Innlandet Hospital Trust, Lillehammer, Norway.
Ellisiv MathiesenDepartment of Clinical Medicine, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.
Maja-Lisa LøchenDepartment of Community Medicine, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.
Inger NjølstadDepartment of Community Medicine, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.
Gerardo HeissDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Goodarz DanaeiDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Centre for Arctic Gas Hydrate, Environment and Climate · NOHarvard University · USInnlandet Hospital Trust · NOUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe aim of this study was to use the parametric g-formula to estimate the 19-year risk of myocardial infarction (MI) under hypothetical interventions on six cardiovascular risk factors. DESIGN AND

settingA populations-based cohort study with repeated measurements, the Tromsø Study. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Myocardial infarction.

participantsWe estimated the relative and absolute risk reduction under feasible and intensive risk reduction strategies for smoking, physical activity, alcohol drinking, body mass index, total serum cholesterol and systolic blood pressure in 14 965 men and women with 19 years of follow-up (1994-2013).

resultsThe estimated 19-year risk of MI under no intervention was 7.5% in individuals with baseline mean age 49.3 years (range 25-69). This risk was reduced by 30% (95% CI 19% to 39%) under joint feasible interventions on all risk factors, and 70% (60%, 78%) under a set of more intensive interventions. The most effective interventions were lowering of total cholesterol to 5.18 mmol/L and lowering of systolic blood pressure to 120 mm Hg (33% and 37% lower MI risk, respectively). The absolute risk reductions were significantly larger in men, in older participants, in smokers and in those with low education.

conclusionModification of population levels of cardiovascular risk factors could have prevented close to one-third of the cases of MI in the municipality of Tromsø during 19 years of follow-up.

Indexed as

CholesterolModels, StatisticalRisk Reduction BehaviorAge FactorsBlood PressureBody Mass IndexCohort StudiesExerciseFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedMyocardial InfarctionNorwayRisk FactorsCholesterolcoronary heart diseasemyocardial infarctionpublic healthstatistics & research methods

Identifiers

PMID32448794
PMCPMC7252981
OpenAlexW3026954916

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.