Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32446978›Full record

ArticlePharmacological research2020

30-day mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 during the first wave of the Italian epidemic: A prospective cohort study.

Andrea Giacomelli, Anna Lisa Ridolfo, Laura Milazzo, Letizia Oreni, Dario Bernacchia, Matteo Siano, Cecilia Bonazzetti, Alice Covizzi, Marco Schiuma, Matteo Passerini and 15 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pharmacological research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 150 papers, 46 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
150citing papers in PubMed, 46 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

150 citing papers in PubMed, 46 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  3. Recent Advance Analysis of Recovery in Hospitalized People with COVID-19: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
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90 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors.

Andrea GiacomelliDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy; Luigi Sacco Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences DIBIC, University of Milan, Italy. Electronic address: andrea.giacomelli@unimi.it.
Anna Lisa RidolfoDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Laura MilazzoDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Letizia OreniDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Dario BernacchiaDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy; Luigi Sacco Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences DIBIC, University of Milan, Italy.
Matteo SianoDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy; Luigi Sacco Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences DIBIC, University of Milan, Italy.
Cecilia BonazzettiDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy; Luigi Sacco Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences DIBIC, University of Milan, Italy.
Alice CovizziDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy; Luigi Sacco Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences DIBIC, University of Milan, Italy.
Marco SchiumaDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy; Luigi Sacco Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences DIBIC, University of Milan, Italy.
Matteo PasseriniDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy; Luigi Sacco Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences DIBIC, University of Milan, Italy.
Marco PiscagliaDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy; Luigi Sacco Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences DIBIC, University of Milan, Italy.
Massimo CoenDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Guido GubertiniDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Giuliano RizzardiniDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy; School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Science, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Chiara CogliatiDepartment of Internal Medicine, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Anna Maria BrambillaDepartment of Emergency Medicine, ASST Fatebenefratelli Sacco, Luigi Sacco Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Riccardo ColomboDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Antonio CastelliDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Roberto RechDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Agostino RivaDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Alessandro TorreDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Luca MeroniDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Stefano RusconiDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy; Luigi Sacco Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences DIBIC, University of Milan, Italy.
Spinello AntinoriDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy; Luigi Sacco Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences DIBIC, University of Milan, Italy.
Massimo GalliDepartment of Infectious Diseases, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Luigi Sacco University Hospital, Milan, Italy; Luigi Sacco Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences DIBIC, University of Milan, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Italy was the first European country hit by the COVID-19 pandemic and has the highest number of recorded COVID-19 deaths in Europe. This prospective cohort study of the correlates of the risk of death in COVID-19 patients was conducted at the Infectious Diseases and Intensive Care units of Luigi Sacco Hospital, Milan, Italy. The clinical characteristics of all the COVID-19 patients hospitalised in the early days of the epidemic (21 February -19 March 2020) were recorded upon admission, and the time-dependent probability of death was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method (censored as of 20 April 2020). Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the factors independently associated with the risk of death. Forty-eight (20.6 %) of the 233 patients followed up for a median of 40 days (interquartile range 33-47) died during the follow-up. Most were males (69.1 %) and their median age was 61 years (IQR 50-72). The time-dependent probability of death was 19.7 % (95 % CI 14.6-24.9 %) 30 days after hospital admission. Age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.08, 95 % CI 1.48-2.92 per ten years more) and obesity (aHR 3.04, 95 % CI 1.42-6.49) were independently associated with an increased risk of death, which was also associated with critical disease (aHR 8.26, 95 % CI 1.41-48.29), C-reactive protein levels (aHR 1.17, 95 % CI 1.02-1.35 per 50 mg/L more) and creatinine kinase levels above 185 U/L (aHR 2.58, 95 % CI 1.37-4.87) upon admission. Case-fatality rate of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in the early days of the Italian epidemic was about 20 %. Our study adds evidence to the notion that older age, obesity and more advanced illness are factors associated to an increased risk of death among patients hospitalized with COVID-19.

Indexed as

BetacoronavirusAgedAge FactorsCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19FemaleHospitalizationHumansItalyMaleMiddle AgedPandemicsPneumonia, ViralProspective StudiesRisk FactorsSARS-CoV-230-day mortalityAdvanced ageItalyObesitySARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID32446978
PMCPMC7242199

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.