Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32446187›Full record

ArticleEpidemics2020

The time scale of asymptomatic transmission affects estimates of epidemic potential in the COVID-19 outbreak.

Sang Woo Park, Daniel M Cornforth, Jonathan Dushoff, Joshua S Weitz

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 78 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
78citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

78 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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18 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Sang Woo ParkDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
Daniel M CornforthSchool of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Jonathan DushoffDepartment of Biology, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; M. G. DeGroote Institute for Infectious Disease Research, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada. Electronic address: dushoff@mcmaster.ca.
Joshua S WeitzSchool of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA; School of Physics, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA. Electronic address: jsweitz@gatech.edu.

Funding

Synergistic control of acute respiratory pathogens by bacteriophage and the innate immune responseR01AI146592 · NIAID · UNIV OF MARYLAND, COLLEGE PARK · PI DEBARBIEUX, LAURENT, WEITZ, JOSHUA · 2019 to 2023
$2.4M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI146592
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The role of asymptomatic carriers in transmission poses challenges for control of the COVID-19 pandemic. Study of asymptomatic transmission and implications for surveillance and disease burden are ongoing, but there has been little study of the implications of asymptomatic transmission on dynamics of disease. We use a mathematical framework to evaluate expected effects of asymptomatic transmission on the basic reproduction number R

Indexed as

Asymptomatic DiseasesDisease OutbreaksEpidemicsBasic Reproduction NumberCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19HumansPandemicsPneumonia, ViralAsymptomatic transmissionBasic reproduction numberCoronavirus diseaseCOVID-19SARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID32446187
PMCPMC7212980

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.