Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32443899›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical medicine2020

Early Predictors of Clinical Deterioration in a Cohort of 239 Patients Hospitalized for Covid-19 Infection in Lombardy, Italy.

Maurizio Cecconi, Daniele Piovani, Enrico Brunetta, Alessio Aghemo, Massimiliano Greco, Michele Ciccarelli, Claudio Angelini, Antonio Voza, Paolo Omodei, Edoardo Vespa and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 92 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
92citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

92 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Prevalence and prognosis of otorhinolaryngological symptoms in patients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.European archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  20. Humoral Innate Immunity and Acute-Phase Proteins.The New England journal of medicine · 2023
    Review

32 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Maurizio CecconiDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Daniele PiovaniDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Enrico BrunettaDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Alessio AghemoDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Massimiliano GrecoDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Michele CiccarelliDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-8617-4153
Claudio AngeliniDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Antonio VozaDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Paolo OmodeiDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Edoardo VespaDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Nicola PuglieseDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Tommaso Lorenzo ParigiDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Marco FolciDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Silvio DaneseDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Stefanos BonovasDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, 20090 Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We described features of hospitalized Covid-19 patients and identified predictors of clinical deterioration. We included patients consecutively admitted at Humanitas Research Hospital (Rozzano, Milan, Italy); retrospectively extracted demographic; clinical; laboratory and imaging findings at admission; used survival methods to identify factors associated with clinical deterioration (defined as intensive care unit (ICU) transfer or death), and developed a prognostic index. Overall; we analyzed 239 patients (29.3% females) with a mean age of 63.9 (standard deviation [SD]; 14.0) years. Clinical deterioration occurred in 70 patients (29.3%), including 41 (17.2%) ICU transfers and 36 (15.1%) deaths. The most common symptoms and signs at admission were cough (77.8%) and elevated respiratory rate (34.1%), while 66.5% of patients had at least one coexisting medical condition. Imaging frequently revealed ground-glass opacity (68.9%) and consolidation (23.8%). Age; increased respiratory rate; abnormal blood gas parameters and imaging findings; coexisting coronary heart disease; leukocytosis; lymphocytopenia; and several laboratory parameters (elevated procalcitonin; interleukin-6; serum ferritin; C-reactive protein; aspartate aminotransferase; lactate dehydrogenase; creatinine; fibrinogen; troponin-I; and D-dimer) were significant predictors of clinical deterioration. We suggested a prognostic index to assist risk-stratification (C-statistic; 0.845; 95% CI; 0.802‒0.887). These results could aid early identification and management of patients at risk, who should therefore receive additional monitoring and aggressive supportive care.

Indexed as

2019-nCoV2019 novel coronavirusCOVID-19SARS-CoV-2severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2

Identifiers

PMID32443899
PMCPMC7290833

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.