Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32437329›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2020

Collateral Crises of Gun Preparation and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Infodemiology Study.

Theodore L Caputi, John W Ayers, Mark Dredze, Nicholas Suplina, Sarah Burd-Sharps

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

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  13. Increase in gunshot wounds at a level 1 trauma center following the COVID19 pandemic.OTA international : the open access journal of orthopaedic trauma · 2021
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  15. Frequency of Firearm Injuries to Head and Neck Increased During Covid-19 Pandemic.Journal of oral and maxillofacial surgery : official journal of the American Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Theodore L CaputiDepartment of Health Sciences, University of York, York, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3498-9032
John W AyersDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Health, Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-8831-8691
Mark DredzeDepartment of Computer Science, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-0422-2474
Nicholas SuplinaEverytown for Gun Safety, New York, NY, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-0050-5538
Sarah Burd-SharpsEverytown for Gun Safety, New York, NY, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-9796-8610
Johns Hopkins University · USUniversity of California San Diego · USUniversity of York · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn the past, national emergencies in the United States have resulted in increased gun preparation (ie, purchasing new guns or removing guns from storage); in turn, these gun actions have effected increases in firearm injuries and deaths.

objectiveThe aim of this paper was to assess the extent to which interest in gun preparation has increased amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic using data from Google searches related to purchasing and cleaning guns.

methodsWe fit an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model over Google search data from January 2004 up to the week that US President Donald Trump declared COVID-19 a national emergency. We used this model to forecast Google search volumes, creating a counterfactual of the number of gun preparation searches we would expect if the COVID-19 pandemic had not occurred, and reported observed deviations from this counterfactual.

resultsGoogle searches related to preparing guns have surged to unprecedented levels, approximately 40% higher than previously reported spikes following the Sandy Hook, CT and Parkland, FL shootings and 158% (95% CI 73-270) greater than would be expected if the COVID-19 pandemic had not occurred. In absolute terms, approximately 2.1 million searches related to gun preparation were performed over just 34 days. States severely affected by COVID-19 appear to have some of the greatest increases in the number of searches.

conclusionsOur results corroborate media reports that gun purchases are increasing amid the COVID-19 pandemic and provide more precise geographic and temporal trends. Policy makers should invest in disseminating evidence-based educational tools about gun risks and safety procedures to avert a collateral public health crisis.

Indexed as

PandemicsCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19FirearmsHumansInternetPneumonia, ViralSearch EngineUnited StatesWounds, GunshotCOVID-19firearmguninjurysurveillance

Identifiers

PMID32437329
PMCPMC7257475
OpenAlexW3028098788

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.