Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32432713›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2021

Prostate Cancer Incidence 5 Years After US Preventive Services Task Force Recommendations Against Screening.

Ahmedin Jemal, MaryBeth B Culp, Jiemin Ma, Farhad Islami, Stacey A Fedewa

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 69 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
69citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
11.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

69 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 144 citations in OpenAlex.

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  12. Prostate Cancer Mortality Trend in Montenegro 1990-2018.Iranian journal of public health · 2025
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9 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Ahmedin JemalSurveillance and Health Services Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA, USA.
MaryBeth B CulpSurveillance and Health Services Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Jiemin MaSurveillance and Health Services Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Farhad IslamiSurveillance and Health Services Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Stacey A FedewaSurveillance and Health Services Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA, USA.
American Cancer Society · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrevious studies reported that prostate cancer incidence rates in the United States declined for local-stage disease and increased for regional- and distant-stage disease following the US Preventive Services Task Force recommendations against prostate-specific antigen-based screening for men aged 75 years and older in 2008 and for all men in 2012. It is unknown, however, whether these patterns persisted through 2016.

methodsBased on the US Cancer Statistics Public Use Research Database, we examined temporal trends in invasive prostate cancer incidence from 2005 to 2016 in men aged 50 years and older stratified by stage (local, regional, and distant), age group (50-74 years and 75 years and older), and race and ethnicity (all races and ethnicities, non-Hispanic Whites, and non-Hispanic Blacks) with joinpoint regression models to estimate annual percent changes. Tests of statistical significance are 2-sided (P < .05).

resultsFor all races and ethnicities combined, incidence for local-stage disease declined beginning in 2007 in men aged 50-74 years and 75 years and older, although the decline stabilized during 2013-2016 in men aged 75 years and older. Incidence decreased by 6.4% (95% CI = 4.9%-9% to 7.9%) per year from 2007 to 2016 in men aged 50-74 years and by 10.7% (95% CI = 6.2% to 15.0%) per year from 2007 to 2013 in men aged 75 years and older. In contrast, incidence for regional- and distant-stage disease increased in both age groups during the study period. For example, distant-stage incidence in men aged 75 years and older increased by 5.2% (95% CI = 4.2% to 6.1%) per year from 2010 to 2016.

conclusionsRegional- and distant-stage prostate cancer incidence continue to increase in the United States in men aged 50 years and older, and future studies are needed to identify reasons for the rising trends.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerPreventive Health ServicesAdvisory CommitteesAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsHumansMaleMiddle AgedProstate-Specific AntigenProstatic NeoplasmsProstate-Specific Antigen

Identifiers

PMID32432713
PMCPMC7781461
OpenAlexW3026088446

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.