Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32430043›Full record

Observational studyAntimicrobial resistance and infection control2020

Predicting the occurrence of multidrug-resistant organism colonization or infection in ICU patients: development and validation of a novel multivariate prediction model.

Li Wang, Xiaolong Huang, Jiating Zhou, Yajing Wang, Weizhang Zhong, Qing Yu, Weiping Wang, Zhiqiao Ye, Qiaoyan Lin, Xing Hong and 2 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Antimicrobial resistance and infection control, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

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  20. Profiles of multidrug-resistant organisms among patients with bacteremia in intensive care units: an international ID-IRI survey.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Li WangIntensive Care Unit, Xiamen Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1739 Xian Yue Road, Xiamen, 361009, Fujian Province, China.
Xiaolong HuangIntensive Care Unit, First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, 55 Zhen Hai Road, Xiamen, 361000, Fujian Province, China.
Jiating ZhouIntensive Care Unit, First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, 55 Zhen Hai Road, Xiamen, 361000, Fujian Province, China.
Yajing WangIntensive Care Unit, Xiamen Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1739 Xian Yue Road, Xiamen, 361009, Fujian Province, China.
Weizhang ZhongIntensive Care Unit, Xiamen Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1739 Xian Yue Road, Xiamen, 361009, Fujian Province, China.
Qing YuIntensive Care Unit, Xiamen Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1739 Xian Yue Road, Xiamen, 361009, Fujian Province, China.
Weiping WangIntensive Care Unit, Xiamen Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1739 Xian Yue Road, Xiamen, 361009, Fujian Province, China.
Zhiqiao YeIntensive Care Unit, Xiamen Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1739 Xian Yue Road, Xiamen, 361009, Fujian Province, China.
Qiaoyan LinIntensive Care Unit, Xiamen Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1739 Xian Yue Road, Xiamen, 361009, Fujian Province, China.
Xing HongIntensive Care Unit, Xiamen Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1739 Xian Yue Road, Xiamen, 361009, Fujian Province, China.
Ping ZengIntensive Care Unit, Xiamen Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1739 Xian Yue Road, Xiamen, 361009, Fujian Province, China.
Minwei ZhangIntensive Care Unit, First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, 55 Zhen Hai Road, Xiamen, 361000, Fujian Province, China. xmzmwicu@126.com.ORCID 0000-0002-3248-4594

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMultidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) have emerged as an important cause of poor prognoses of patients in the intensive care unit (ICU). This study aimed to establish an easy-to-use nomogram for predicting the occurrence of MDRO colonization or infection in ICU patients.

methodsIn this study, we developed a nomogram based on predictors in patients admitted to the ICU in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University from 2016 to 2018 using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. We externally validated this nomogram in patients from another hospital over a similar period, and assessed its performance by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and performing a decision curve analysis.

results331 patients in the primary cohort and 181 patients in the validation cohort were included in the statistical analysis. Independent factors derived from the primary cohort to predict MDRO colonization or infection were male sex, higher C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and higher Pitt bacteremia scores (Pitt scores), which were all assembled in the nomogram. The nomogram yielded good discrimination with an AUC of 0.77 (95% CI 0.70-0.84), and the range of threshold probabilities of decision curves was approximately 30-95%.

conclusionThis easy-to-use nomogram is potentially useful for predicting the occurrence of MDRO colonization or infection in ICU patients.

Indexed as

Drug Resistance, Multiple, BacterialNomogramsAdultAgedBacterial InfectionsC-Reactive ProteinCross InfectionFemaleHumansIntensive Care UnitsMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisRetrospective StudiesSex CharacteristicsC-Reactive ProteinColonizationCRPICUInfectionMultidrug-resistant organismsPitt score

Identifiers

PMID32430043
PMCPMC7236142

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.