Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32429293›Full record

ArticleDiagnostics (Basel, Switzerland)2020

Using Machine Learning to Predict Bacteremia in Febrile Children Presented to the Emergency Department.

Chih-Min Tsai, Chun-Hung Richard Lin, Huan Zhang, I-Min Chiu, Chi-Yung Cheng, Hong-Ren Yu, Ying-Hsien Huang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Chih-Min TsaiDepartment of Pediatrics, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital and Chang Gung University College of Medicine, Kaohsiung 833401, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0001-5267-9594
Chun-Hung Richard LinDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung 804201, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0003-0840-394X
Huan ZhangDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung 804201, Taiwan.
I-Min ChiuDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung 804201, Taiwan.
Chi-Yung ChengDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung 804201, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-1109-9339
Hong-Ren YuDepartment of Pediatrics, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital and Chang Gung University College of Medicine, Kaohsiung 833401, Taiwan.
Ying-Hsien HuangDepartment of Pediatrics, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital and Chang Gung University College of Medicine, Kaohsiung 833401, Taiwan.
National Sun Yat-sen University · TWChang Gung University · TW

Funding

Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital CMRPG8H0041
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Blood culture is frequently used to detect bacteremia in febrile children. However, a high rate of negative or false-positive blood culture results is common at the pediatric emergency department (PED). The aim of this study was to use machine learning to build a model that could predict bacteremia in febrile children. We conducted a retrospective case-control study of febrile children who presented to the PED from 2008 to 2015. We adopted machine learning methods and cost-sensitive learning to establish a predictive model of bacteremia. We enrolled 16,967 febrile children with blood culture tests during the eight-year study period. Only 146 febrile children had true bacteremia, and more than 99% of febrile children had a contaminant or negative blood culture result. The maximum area under the curve of logistic regression and support vector machines to predict bacteremia were 0.768 and 0.832, respectively. Using the predictive model, we can categorize febrile children by risk value into five classes. Class 5 had the highest probability of having bacteremia, while class 1 had no risk. Obtaining blood cultures in febrile children at the PED rarely identifies a causative pathogen. Prediction models can help physicians determine whether patients have bacteremia and may reduce unnecessary expenses.

Indexed as

bacteremiachildrenemergency departmentmachine learningpredict

Identifiers

PMID32429293
PMCPMC7277905
OpenAlexW3025544322

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.