Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32417247›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases2020

The relationship between trends in COVID-19 prevalence and traffic levels in South Korea.

Hocheol Lee, Sung Jong Park, Ga Ram Lee, Ji Eon Kim, Ji Ho Lee, Yeseul Jung, Eun Woo Nam

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 42 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
42citing papers in PubMed
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

42 citing papers in PubMed, 112 citations in OpenAlex.

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  7. Local travel behaviour under continuing COVID-19 waves- A proxy for pandemic fatigue?Transportation research interdisciplinary perspectives · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Hocheol LeeDepartment of Health Administration, Yonsei University Graduate School, Wonju, Gangwon-do, Republic of Korea.
Sung Jong ParkDepartment of Applied Statistics, Yonsei University Graduate School, Wonju, Gangwon-do, Republic of Korea.
Ga Ram LeeYonsei Global Health Center, Yonsei University, Wonju, Republic of Korea.
Ji Eon KimYonsei Global Health Center, Yonsei University, Wonju, Republic of Korea.
Ji Ho LeeDepartment of Health Administration, Yonsei University Graduate School, Wonju, Gangwon-do, Republic of Korea.
Yeseul JungDepartment of Health Administration, Yonsei University Graduate School, Wonju, Gangwon-do, Republic of Korea.
Eun Woo NamDepartment of Health Administration, College of Health Science, Yonsei University, Wonju, Gangwon-do, Republic of Korea. Electronic address: ewnam@yonsei.ac.kr.
Yonsei University · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe World Health Organization (WHO) declared a COVID-19 pandemic on March 12, 2020. Several studies have indicated that densely populated urban environments and the heavy dependence on traffic could increase the potential spread of COVID-19. This study investigated the association between changes in traffic volume and the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea.

methodsThis study analyzed the daily national traffic and traffic trend for 3 months from January 1, 2020. Traffic data were measured using 6307 vehicle detection system (VDS). This study analyzed the difference in traffic levels between 2019 and 2020. Non-linear regression was performed to analyze the change in traffic trend in 2020. The relationship between traffic and confirmed COVID-19 cases was analyzed using single linear regression.

resultsThe mean daily nationwide level of traffic for the first 3 months of 2020 was 143 655 563 vehicles, which was 9.7% lower than the same period in 2019 (159 044 566 vehicles). All regions showed a decreasing trend in traffic in February, which shifted to an increasing trend from March. In Incheon there was a positive, but insignificant, linear relationship between increasing numbers of newly confirmed cases and increasing traffic (β = 43 146; p = 0.056).

conclusionsNumbers of newly confirmed COVID-19 patients have been decreasing since March, while the traffic has been increasing. The fact that traffic is increasing indicates greater contact between people, which in turn increases the risk of further COVID-19 spread. Therefore, the government will need to devise suitable policies, such as total social distancing.

Indexed as

BetacoronavirusAutomobile DrivingCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19HumansPandemicsPneumonia, ViralPrevalenceRepublic of KoreaSARS-CoV-2COVID-19 prevalenceSocial distancingSouth KoreaTraffic levelVDS

Identifiers

PMID32417247
PMCPMC7224658
OpenAlexW3024345929

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.