Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32417140›Full record

ArticleVaccine2020

Human monkeypox - After 40 years, an unintended consequence of smallpox eradication.

Karl Simpson, David Heymann, Colin S Brown, W John Edmunds, Jesper Elsgaard, Paul Fine, Hubertus Hochrein, Nicole A Hoff, Andrew Green, Chikwe Ihekweazu and 14 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Vaccine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 169 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
169citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
32.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

169 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 320 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Review
  7. Durability of the Humoral Response to MPXV Infection.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2026
    Review
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109 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors at 15 institutions in 6 countries.

Karl SimpsonJKS Bioscience Limited, 2 Midanbury Court, 44 Midanbury Lane, Southampton SO18 4HF, UK. Electronic address: karl.simpson@jksbioscience.co.uk.
David HeymannLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, Bloomsbury, London WC1E 7HT, UK. Electronic address: David.Heymann@LSHTM.ac.uk.
Colin S BrownPublic Health England, Colindale, 61 Colindale Avenue, London NW9 5EQ, UK. Electronic address: Colin.Brown@phe.gov.uk.
W John EdmundsLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, Bloomsbury, London WC1E 7HT, UK. Electronic address: John.Edmunds@LSHTM.ac.uk.
Jesper ElsgaardBavarian Nordic A/S, Hejreskovvej 10A, DK-3490 Kvistgård, Denmark. Electronic address: jesper.elsgaard@bavarian-nordic.com.
Paul FineLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, Bloomsbury, London WC1E 7HT, UK. Electronic address: Paul.Fine@lshtm.ac.uk.
Hubertus HochreinBavarian Nordic GmbH, Fraunhoferstraße 13, 82152 Planegg, Germany. Electronic address: Hubertus.Hochrein@bavarian-nordic.com.
Nicole A HoffFielding School of Public Health, UCLA, 50 Charles E Young Dr S, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States. Electronic address: nhoff84@ucla.edu.
Andrew GreenRoyal Centre of Defence Medicine, Level 2 QEHB, Mindelsohn Way, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2WB,UK. Electronic address: andy.green735@mod.gov.uk.
Chikwe IhekweazuNigeria CDC, Plot 801, Ebitu Ukiwe Street, Jabi, Abuja, Nigeria. Electronic address: chikwe.ihekweazu@ncdc.gov.ng.
Terry C JonesCentre for Pathogen Evolution, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing St., Cambridge CB2 3EJ, UK; Institute of Virology, Charité, Universitätsmedizin Charitéplatz 1, 10117 Berlin, Germany. Electronic address: tcj25@cam.ac.uk.
Swaib LuleUniversity College London, Faculty of Population Health Sciences, 30 Guilford Street, London WC1N 1EH, UK. Electronic address: s.lule@ucl.ac.uk.
Jane MaclennanBavarian Nordic GmbH, Fraunhoferstraße 13, 82152 Planegg, Germany. Electronic address: Jane.maclennan@bavarian-nordic.com.
Andrea McCollumCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Rd. NE, CDC, Atlanta, GA 30333, USA. Electronic address: azv4@cdc.gov.
Barbara MühlemannCentre for Pathogen Evolution, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing St., Cambridge CB2 3EJ, UK; Institute of Virology, Charité, Universitätsmedizin Charitéplatz 1, 10117 Berlin, Germany. Electronic address: bm446@cam.ac.uk.
Emily NightingaleThe Forge Veterinary Centre, 93b Head Street, Halstead, Essex CO9 2AZ, UK. Electronic address: emily@herskind.co.uk.
Dimie OgoinaNiger Delta University/Niger Delta University Teaching Hospital, Bayelsa, Nigeria.
Adesola OgunleyeNigeria CDC, Plot 801, Ebitu Ukiwe Street, Jabi, Abuja, Nigeria. Electronic address: adesola.ogunleye@ncdc.gov.ng.
Brett PetersenCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Rd. NE, CDC, Atlanta, GA 30333, USA. Electronic address: ige3@cdc.gov.
Jacqueline PowellBavarian Nordic Inc, 3025 Carrington Mill Blvd, Morrisville, NC 27560, USA. Electronic address: Jacqueline.Powell@bavarian-nordic.com.
Ollie QuantickSO1 Public Health and Health Protection, Army Headquarters, Ground Floor, Zone1, Blenheim Bd, Marlborough Lines, Monxton Road, Andover, Hampshire SP11 8HJ, UK. Electronic address: oliver.quantick180@mod.gov.uk.
Anne W RimoinFielding School of Public Health, UCLA, 50 Charles E Young Dr S, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States. Electronic address: arimoin@ucla.edu.
David UlaeatoCBR Division, Defence Science & Technology Laboratory, Porton Down, Salisbury SP4 0JQ, UK. Electronic address: dulaeto@dstl.gov.uk.
Andy WaplingRegional Head of Emergency Preparedness, Resilience and Response, NHS England (South West & South East), UK. Electronic address: andy.wapling@nhs.net.
Public Health England · GBUniversity of London · GBBavarian Nordic (Germany) · DECenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USNigeria Centre for Disease Control · NGUCLA Health · USUniversity of Cambridge · GBBavarian Nordic (Denmark) · DKBavarian Nordic (United States) · USDefence Science and Technology Laboratory · GBEternity Bioscience (United States) · USHalstead Hospital · GBInstitute of Child Health · GRNiger Delta University · NGUniversity of Ulster · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Smallpox eradication, coordinated by the WHO and certified 40 years ago, led to the cessation of routine smallpox vaccination in most countries. It is estimated that over 70% of the world's population is no longer protected against smallpox, and through cross-immunity, to closely related orthopox viruses such as monkeypox. Monkeypox is now a re-emerging disease. Monkeypox is endemic in as yet unconfirmed animal reservoirs in sub-Saharan Africa, while its human epidemiology appears to be changing. Monkeypox in small animals imported from Ghana as exotic pets was at the origin of an outbreak of human monkeypox in the USA in 2003. Travellers infected in Nigeria were at the origin of monkeypox cases in the UK in 2018 and 2019, Israel in 2018 and Singapore in2019. Together with sporadic reports of human infections with other orthopox viruses, these facts invite speculation that emergent or re-emergent human monkeypox might fill the epidemiological niche vacated by smallpox. An ad-hoc and unofficial group of interested experts met to consider these issues at Chatham House, London in June 2019, in order to review available data and identify monkeypox-related research gaps. Gaps identified by the experts included:The experts further agreed on the need for a better understanding of the genomic evolution and changing epidemiology of orthopox viruses, the usefulness of in-field genomic diagnostics, and the best disease control strategies, including the possibility of vaccination with new generation non-replicating smallpox vaccines and treatment with recently developed antivirals.

Indexed as

Mpox, MonkeypoxSmallpoxSmallpox VaccineGhanaHumansIsraelLondonMonkeypox virusNigeriaSingaporeSmallpox VaccineEpidemiologyEradicationMonkeypoxOrthopoxRiskSmallpoxVaccines

Identifiers

PMID32417140
PMCPMC9533855
OpenAlexW3024417582

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.