Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32415105›Full record

ArticleNature communications2020

Unexpected large eruptions from buoyant magma bodies within viscoelastic crust.

Freysteinn Sigmundsson, Virginie Pinel, Ronni Grapenthin, Andrew Hooper, Sæmundur A Halldórsson, Páll Einarsson, Benedikt G Ófeigsson, Elías R Heimisson, Kristín Jónsdóttir, Magnús T Gudmundsson and 10 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Freysteinn SigmundssonNordic Volcanological Center, Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland, IS-101, Reykjavik, Iceland. fs@hi.is.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9052-4665
Virginie PinelUniv. Grenoble Alpes, Univ. Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, IRD, IFSTTAR, ISTerre, 38000, Grenoble, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4928-9584
Ronni GrapenthinGeophysical Institute & Dept. of Geosciences, University of Alaska Fairbanks, 2156 Koyukuk Drive, Fairbanks, AK-99775, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4926-2162
Andrew HooperCOMET, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4244-6652
Sæmundur A HalldórssonNordic Volcanological Center, Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland, IS-101, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Páll EinarssonNordic Volcanological Center, Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland, IS-101, Reykjavik, Iceland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6893-9626
Benedikt G ÓfeigssonIcelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Elías R HeimissonSeismological Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8342-7226
Kristín JónsdóttirIcelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Magnús T GudmundssonNordic Volcanological Center, Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland, IS-101, Reykjavik, Iceland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5325-3368
Kristín VogfjördIcelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Michelle ParksIcelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Siqi LiNordic Volcanological Center, Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland, IS-101, Reykjavik, Iceland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6289-7819
Vincent DrouinIceland GeoSurvey, Reykjavik, Iceland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5340-0484
Halldór GeirssonNordic Volcanological Center, Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland, IS-101, Reykjavik, Iceland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-1588
Stéphanie DumontInstituto Dom Luiz - University of Beira Interior, Covilhã, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4779-7788
Hildur M FridriksdottirIcelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Gunnar B GudmundssonIcelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Tim J WrightCOMET, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8338-5935
Tadashi YamasakiGeological Survey of Japan, AIST, 1-1-1 Higashi, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8567, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7118-8720

Funding

European Commission (EC) 731070
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Large volume effusive eruptions with relatively minor observed precursory signals are at odds with widely used models to interpret volcano deformation. Here we propose a new modelling framework that resolves this discrepancy by accounting for magma buoyancy, viscoelastic crustal properties, and sustained magma channels. At low magma accumulation rates, the stability of deep magma bodies is governed by the magma-host rock density contrast and the magma body thickness. During eruptions, inelastic processes including magma mush erosion and thermal effects, can form a sustained channel that supports magma flow, driven by the pressure difference between the magma body and surface vents. At failure onset, it may be difficult to forecast the final eruption volume; pressure in a magma body may drop well below the lithostatic load, create under-pressure and initiate a caldera collapse, despite only modest precursors.

Identifiers

PMID32415105
PMCPMC7229005

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.