Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32407554›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology2020

What and where? Predicting invasion hotspots in the Arctic marine realm.

Jesica Goldsmit, Christopher W McKindsey, Robert W Schlegel, D Bruce Stewart, Philippe Archambault, Kimberly L Howland

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
5.5field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 64 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Impact of Climate Change on the Distribution of Three Rare Salamanders (Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Ship traffic connects Antarctica's fragile coasts to worldwide ecosystems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Jesica GoldsmitFisheries and Oceans Canada, Maurice Lamontagne Institute, Mont-Joli, QC, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1758-2700
Christopher W McKindseyFisheries and Oceans Canada, Maurice Lamontagne Institute, Mont-Joli, QC, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3026-6454
Robert W SchlegelDepartment of Oceanography, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0705-1287
D Bruce StewartArctic Biological Consultants, Winnipeg, MB, Canada.
Philippe ArchambaultDepartment of Biology, Science and Engineering Faculty, ArcticNet, Takuvik, Laval University, Quebec City, QC, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5986-6149
Kimberly L HowlandFisheries and Oceans Canada, Arctic Research Division, Freshwater Institute, Winnipeg, MB, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5442-3290
Fisheries and Oceans Canada · CAArcticNet · CADalhousie University · CAManitoba Beekeepers' Association · CA

Funding

Canadian High Arctic Research Station 1516-036Fisheries and Oceans CanadaFisheries and Oceans Canada AIS Monitoring Program FundsFisheries and Oceans Canada Arctic Science FundFisheries and Oceans Canada Strategic Program for Ecosystem-Based Research and AdviceNatural Sciences and Engineering Research CouncilNunavik Marine Region Wildlife BoardOcean Frontier InstitutePolar Knowledge Canada PKC-NST-1617-0016A
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The risk of aquatic invasions in the Arctic is expected to increase with climate warming, greater shipping activity and resource exploitation in the region. Planktonic and benthic marine aquatic invasive species (AIS) with the greatest potential for invasion and impact in the Canadian Arctic were identified and the 23 riskiest species were modelled to predict their potential spatial distributions at pan-Arctic and global scales. Modelling was conducted under present environmental conditions and two intermediate future (2050 and 2100) global warming scenarios. Invasion hotspots-regions of the Arctic where habitat is predicted to be suitable for a high number of potential AIS-were located in Hudson Bay, Northern Grand Banks/Labrador, Chukchi/Eastern Bering seas and Barents/White seas, suggesting that these regions could be more vulnerable to invasions. Globally, both benthic and planktonic organisms showed a future poleward shift in suitable habitat. At a pan-Arctic scale, all organisms showed suitable habitat gains under future conditions. However, at the global scale, habitat loss was predicted in more tropical regions for some taxa, particularly most planktonic species. Results from the present study can help prioritize management efforts in the face of climate change in the Arctic marine ecosystem. Moreover, this particular approach provides information to identify present and future high-risk areas for AIS in response to global warming.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeEcosystemArctic RegionsCanadaOceans and Seasaquatic invasive speciesclimate warmingensemble modelshabitat suitabilityrisk of invasionshippingspecies distribution model

Identifiers

PMID32407554
PMCPMC7496761
OpenAlexW3025536750

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.