Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32405424›Full record

ArticleJournal of virus eradication2020

Phase 3 trials of new antiretrovirals are not representative of the global HIV epidemic.

Toby Pepperrell, Andrew Hill, Michelle Moorhouse, Polly Clayden, Kaitlyn McCann, Simiso Sokhela, Celicia Serenata, Willem Daniel Francois Venter

Abstract readEditorial
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of virus eradication, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  9. Roadmap for Achieving Universal Antiretroviral Treatment.Annual review of pharmacology and toxicology · 2023
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Toby PepperrellFaculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, UK.
Andrew HillDepartment of Translational Medicine, Liverpool University, Pharmacology, Liverpool, UK.
Michelle MoorhouseEzintsha, Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Polly ClaydenHIV iBase, London, UK.
Kaitlyn McCannImperial College London, UK.
Simiso SokhelaEzintsha, Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Celicia SerenataWits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Willem Daniel Francois VenterEzintsha, Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionPeople living with HIV (PLWH) are mainly African or Asian, the majority female. In contrast, pharmaceutical companies typically conduct phase 3 regulatory randomised controlled trials (RCTs) in high-income countries (HICs), where PLWH are mainly white males. Regulatory authorities can be conservative about including pregnant women in trials, discouraging female participation. Some adverse events occur more frequently by sex or by race because of differing pharmacokinetics. Most drugs have insufficient safety data in pregnancy and non-white people even after regulatory approval. The present study compared race and sex demographics of phase 3 RCTs of dolutegravir (DTG), bictegravir (BIC) and tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) with global HIV epidemic demography.

methodsNational epidemic sizes by sex were extracted from UNAIDS 2018 data. National demographics were used to estimate prevalence by race. PLWH by national socio-economic status were calculated from World Bank data. Summary race and sex demographic data for 10 phase 3 trials of DTG (

resultsBlack females (42%) and black males (30%) have highest prevalence globally. White males comprise 6% of PLWH. Over 60% of PLWH live in low or low-middle-income countries, 68% of whom are black and 23% Asian. Seventy-six per cent of DTG trial centres were in high-income countries (HICs) (5% global burden) and 23% in upper-middle-income countries (UMICs). DTG trials were not representative of PLWH even within the UMIC and HIC setting (49% white male

conclusionPhase 3 RCT populations for new antiretrovirals comprised 51% white males, vastly disproportionate to the global HIV epidemic (6%). Females and non-white people are underrepresented. Female safety data are insufficient despite drug approval in Europe and USA. HIV trials should be located in regions representing the global epidemic with no sex-based selection. Trials should aim for at least 50% female and 50% non-white recruitment to properly provide safety information.

Indexed as

antiretroviralsblack femalesclinical trialsHIVphase 3

Identifiers

PMID32405424
PMCPMC7213067

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.