ArticleThe journal of headache and pain2020
Pain rates in general population for the period 1991-2015 and 10-years prediction: results from a multi-continent age-period-cohort analysis.
Article in The journal of headache and pain, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Can we distinguish the roles of demographic and temporal changes in the incidence and prevalence of musculoskeletal disorders? A systematic review.Scandinavian journal of work, environment & health · 2022Pooled it
- The effect of peer group management intervention on chronic pain intensity, number of areas of pain, and pain self-efficacy.Scandinavian journal of pain · 2025Trial
- Association between quality of life before an acute pain event and the development of chronic pain-related disability.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2025Article
- Cell-Free Therapies for Chronic Pain: The Rise of the Mesenchymal Stem Cell Secretome.Brain sciences · 2025Review
- Development of a Longitudinal Model for Disability Prediction in Older Adults in China: Analysis of CHARLS Data (2015-2020).JMIR aging · 2025Article
- Normative values for the hypoparathyroidism patient questionnaire (HPQ28) in the German general population.Journal of patient-reported outcomes · 2025Article
- Women are worse off in developing and recovering from temporomandibular disorder symptoms.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- The World Health Organization Intersectoral Global Action Plan on Epilepsy and Other Neurological Disorders and the headache revolution: from headache burden to a global action plan for headache disorders.The journal of headache and pain · 2024Review
- Article
- Temporal and spatial distribution of musculoskeletal disorders from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis of the global burden of disease.BMJ public health · 2023Article
- Biopsychosocial Approach in Identifying Risk Factors of Kinesiophobia in Persons with Subacromial Pain Syndrome and Developing a Clinical Prediction Tool.Indian journal of orthopaedics · 2023Article
- Pain Among Latvian Workers: General Prevalence vs. Registered Occupational Diseases.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Trends in Musculoskeletal Rehabilitation Needs in China From 1990 to 2030: A Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort Modeling Study.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Secular Trends in the Incidence of Migraine in China from 1990 to 2019: A Joinpoint and Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.Journal of pain research · 2022Article
- Spousal Care and Pain Among the Population Aged 65 Years and Older: A European Analysis.Frontiers in medicine · 2021Article
- Predictors of pain in general ageing populations: results from a multi-country analysis based on ATHLOS harmonized database.The journal of headache and pain · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
18 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundPain is a common symptom, often associated with neurological and musculoskeletal conditions, and experienced especially by females and by older people. The aims of this study are to evaluate the temporal variations of pain rates among general populations for the period 1991-2015 and to project 10-year pain rates.
methodsWe used the harmonized dataset of ATHLOS project, which included 660,028 valid observations in the period 1990-2015 and we applied Bayesian age-period-cohort modeling to perform projections up to 2025. The harmonized Pain variable covers the content "self-reported pain experienced at the time of the interview", with a dichotomous (yes or no) modality.
resultsPain rates were higher among females, older subjects, in recent periods, and among observations referred to cohorts of subjects born between the 20s and the 60s. The 10-year projections indicate a noteworthy increase in pain rates in both genders and particularly among subjects aged 66 or over, for whom a 10-20% increase in pain rate is foreseen; among females only, a 10-15% increase in pain rates is foreseen for those aged 36-50.
conclusionsProjected increase in pain rates will require specific interventions by health and welfare systems, as pain is responsible for limited quality of subjective well-being, reduced employment rates and hampered work performance. Worksite and lifestyle interventions will therefore be needed to limit the impact of projected higher pain rates.
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