ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020
A Long-Term Trend Study of Tuberculosis Incidence in China, India and United States 1992-2017: A Joinpoint and Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 53 citations in OpenAlex.
- Medicinal Plants in the Treatment of Tuberculosis: A Systematic Review.Central nervous system agents in medicinal chemistry · 2025Pooled it
- Safety, pharmacokinetics, and food effect of sudapyridine (WX-081), a novel anti-tuberculosis candidate in healthy Chinese subjects.Clinical and translational science · 2024Trial
- Tuberculosis burden attributable to smoking in China 1990-2021 and projections to 2040: A secondary analysis of GBD 2021 data.Tobacco induced diseases · 2026Article
- Epidemiological characteristics of tuberculosis among migrant populations and key predictors of migratory cases in Zhejiang Province.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Projecting tuberculosis control progress in metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas of Brazil, 2001-2035: a Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2025Article
- Trends and projection of pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in Hubei Province, china: an age‒period‒cohort modeling study.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Age-period-cohort study of active pulmonary tuberculosis in eastern China: analysis of 15-year surveillance data.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Effect of population aging on pulmonary tuberculosis burden in Zhejiang Province, China: a population-based study.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Application of the age-period-cohort model in tuberculosis.Frontiers in public health · 2025Review
- Trends and annual percentage changes in tuberculosis mortality estimated by Joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort analyses, Taiwan, 1978-2022.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- The temporal trend of tuberculosis burden in an aging population in China: a secondary data analysis from the GBD 2019.BMC pulmonary medicine · 2024Article
- Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatiotemporal Clustering of Pulmonary Tuberculosis Among Students in Southwest China From 2016 to 2022: Analysis of Population-Based Surveillance Data.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2024Article
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- Comparison of different classification systems for pulmonary nodules: a multicenter retrospective study in China.Cancer imaging : the official publication of the International Cancer Imaging Society · 2024Article
- Trends and Projection of the Incidence of Active Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Southwestern China: Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2023Article
- Epidemiological features and trends in the mortality rates of 10 notifiable respiratory infectious diseases in China from 2004 to 2020: Based on national surveillance.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Trends and disparities in 44 national notifiable infectious diseases in China: An analysis of national surveillance data from 2010 to 2019.Journal of medical virology · 2023Article
- Time trends in tuberculosis mortality across the BRICS: an age-period-cohort analysis for the GBD 2019.EClinicalMedicine · 2022Article
- Age-period-cohort analysis of pulmonary tuberculosis reported incidence, China, 2006-2020.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2022Article
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7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
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Abstract
Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the major infectious diseases with the largest number of morbidity and mortality. Based on the comparison of high and low burden countries of tuberculosis in China, India and the United States, the influence of age-period-cohort on the incidence of tuberculosis in three countries from 1992 to 2017 was studied based on the Global burden of Disease Study 2017. We studied the trends using Joinpoint regression in the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR). The regression model showed a significant decreasing behavior in China, India and the United States between 1992 and 2017. Here, we analyzed the tuberculosis incidence trends in China, India, as well as the United States and distinguished age, period and cohort effects by using age-period-cohort (APC) model. We found that the relative risks (RRs) of tuberculosis in China and India have similar trends, but the United States was found different. The period effect showed that the incidence of the three countries as a whole declines with time. The incidence of tuberculosis had increased in most age group. The older the age, the higher the risk of TB incidence. The net age effect in China and India showed a negative trend, while the cohort effect decreased from the earlier birth cohort to the recent birth cohort. Aging may lead to a continuous increase in the incidence of tuberculosis. It is related to the aging of the population and the relative decline of the immune function in the elderly. This should be timely population intervention or vaccine measures, especially for the elderly. The net cohort effect in the United States showed an unfavorable trend, mainly due to rising smoking rates and the emergence of an economic crisis. Reducing tobacco consumption can effectively reduce the incidence.
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