Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32400109›Full record

ArticleClinical cardiology2020

A novel machine learning algorithm, Bayesian networks model, to predict the high-risk patients with cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury.

Yang Li, Jiarui Xu, Yimei Wang, Yunlu Zhang, Wuhua Jiang, Bo Shen, Xiaoqiang Ding

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical cardiology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 56 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Yang LiDepartment of Nephrology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Jiarui XuDepartment of Nephrology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Yimei WangDepartment of Nephrology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Yunlu ZhangDepartment of Nephrology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Wuhua JiangDepartment of Nephrology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Bo ShenDepartment of Nephrology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Xiaoqiang DingDepartment of Nephrology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5424-8456
Sun Yat-sen University · CN

Funding

Major Projects of Scientific Research and Innovation Plan of Shanghai Education Commission 2017-01-07-00-07-E00009Shanghai Key Laboratory of Kidney and Blood Purification 14DZ2260200Shanghai Medical Centre of Kidney 2017ZZ01015Zhongshan Hospital Science Foundation for Youths 2019ZSQN19
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI) is a well-recognized complication with an ominous outcome. HYPOTHESIS: Bayesian networks (BNs) not only can reveal the complex interrelationships between predictors and CSA-AKI, but predict the individual risk of CSA-AKI occurrence.

methodsDuring 2013 and 2015, we recruited 5533 eligible participants who underwent cardiac surgery from a tertiary hospital in eastern China. Data on demographics, clinical and laboratory information were prospectively recorded in the electronic medical system and analyzed by gLASSO-logistic regression and BNs.

resultsThe incidences of CSA-AKI and severe CSA-AKI were 37.5% and 11.1%. BNs model revealed that gender, left ventricular ejection fractions (LVEF), serum creatinine (SCr), serum uric acid (SUA), platelet, and aortic cross-clamp time (ACCT) were found as the parent nodes of CSA-AKI, while ultrafiltration volume and postoperative central venous pressure (CVP) were connected with CSA-AKI as children nodes. In the severe CSA-AKI model, age, proteinuria, and SUA were directly linked to severe AKI; the new nodes of NYHA grade and direct bilirubin created relationships with severe AKI through was related to LVEF, surgery types, and SCr level. The internal AUCs for predicting CSA-AKI and severe AKI were 0.755 and 0.845, which remained 0.736 and 0.816 in the external validation. Given the known variables, the risk for CSA-AKI can be inferred at individual levels based on the established BNs model and prior information.

conclusionBNs model has a high accuracy, good interpretability, and strong generalizability in predicting CSA-AKI. It facilitates physicians to identify high-risk patients and implement protective strategies to improve the prognosis.

Indexed as

Health Status IndicatorsAcute Kidney InjuryAgedAlgorithmsBayes TheoremCardiac Surgical ProceduresChinaCoronary Artery BypassFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsRisk Assessmentacute kidney injuryBayesian networkscardiac surgerydisease predictionmachine learning

Identifiers

PMID32400109
PMCPMC7368305
OpenAlexW3025277777

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.