Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32398057›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2020

Assessing the epidemiological impact on cervical cancer of switching from 4-valent to 9-valent HPV vaccine within a gender-neutral vaccination programme in Switzerland.

André B Kind, Andrew Pavelyev, Smita Kothari, Nadia El Mouaddin, Aurélie Schmidt, Edith Morais, Patrik Guggisberg, Florian Lienert

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

André B KindDepartment of Gynaecology and Gynaecological Oncology, University Hospital Basel, Spitalstrasse 21, CH-4056, Basel, Switzerland.
Andrew PavelyevCenter for Observational and Real-World Evidence (CORE), Merck & Co., Inc, Kenilworth, NJ, 07033, USA.
Smita KothariCenter for Observational and Real-World Evidence (CORE), Merck & Co., Inc, Kenilworth, NJ, 07033, USA.
Nadia El MouaddinICON plc, 55 avenue des Champs Pierreux, 92000, Nanterre, France.
Aurélie SchmidtICON plc, 27 rue de la Villette, 69003, Lyon, France.
Edith MoraisOutcomes Research, MSD, 162 Avenue Jean Jaurès, 69007, Lyon, France.
Patrik GuggisbergMarket Access, MSD, Werftestrasse 4, CH-6005, Luzern, Switzerland.
Florian LienertMedical Affairs, MSD, Werftestrasse 4, CH-6005, Luzern, Switzerland. florian.lienert@merck.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9161-7107
Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA (United States) · USMSD (Switzerland) · CHImperial Consultants · GBUniversity Hospital of Basel · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAn infection with high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) is the obligatory aetiological factor for the development of cervical cancer. In Switzerland, the prevention strategy for cervical cancer is based on primary prevention via HPV vaccination and secondary prevention with an opportunistic screening programme for precancerous lesions. Vaccination is recommended to 11-26 years old male and female persons. The objective of the study was to assess the epidemiological impact on cervical cancer of switching from the currently implemented programme with the 4-valent vaccine to the 9-valent vaccine, in an 11-26 years old gender-neutral vaccination programme in Switzerland.

methodsA previously validated dynamic transmission model of HPV infections was adapted and calibrated to the Swiss setting assuming an 80% coverage rate in HPV-vaccination and lifelong vaccine type-specific protection. A gender-neutral vaccination programme (males and females) for 11-26 years old with a 9-valent HPV vaccine was compared with the current 11-26 years old gender-neutral 4-valent vaccination programme. Sensitivity analyses were conducted in order to test the impact of lower vaccination coverage rates and a shorter duration of protection on the model outcomes.

resultsIn Switzerland, a 9-valent gender-neutral vaccination programme would result in an additional prevention of 2979 cervical cancer cases, 13,862 CIN3 and 15,000 CIN2 cases, compared with the 4-valent gender-neutral vaccination programme over 100 years. These additional disease cases avoided would correspond to a 24, 36 and 48% cumulative incidence decrease in cervical cancer, CIN3 and CIN2 cases, respectively. It would also prevent additional 741 cervical cancer-related deaths over 100 years. A substantial additional reduction in cervical cancer and precancerous lesions burden is still observed when varying the vaccination coverage rate from 30 to 60% or reducing the duration of protection from lifelong to 20 years.

conclusionsThe switch to the 9-valent vaccine in Switzerland to prevent cervical diseases showed an important contribution in terms of public health impact compared with the 4-valent vaccine in an 11-26 years old gender-neutral population, even with very conservative assumptions such as low coverage rates or low duration of protection and limiting analysis to only cervical disease.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultChildCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHumansImmunization ProgramsIncidenceMass ScreeningPapillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesSwitzerlandUterine Cervical DysplasiaUterine Cervical NeoplasmsVaccinationYoung AdultPapillomavirus Vaccines9-valent HPVCervical cancerCervical diseaseEpidemiologyGender-neutral vaccinationHPVHPV vaccinationImpactSwitzerlandVaccination

Identifiers

PMID32398057
PMCPMC7216682
OpenAlexW3026871083

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.