Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32393882›Full record

ReviewNature plants2020

Organizing principles for vegetation dynamics.

Oskar Franklin, Sandy P Harrison, Roderick Dewar, Caroline E Farrior, Åke Brännström, Ulf Dieckmann, Stephan Pietsch, Daniel Falster, Wolfgang Cramer, Michel Loreau and 19 more

Abstract readReview
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Review in Nature plants, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
51citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

51 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Global patterns of CThe New phytologist · 2026
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  16. Spatial and temporal scale-dependent feedbacks govern dynamics of biocrusts in drylands.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

29 authors.

Oskar FranklinInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. franklin@iiasa.ac.at.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0376-4140
Sandy P HarrisonDepartment of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Reading, Reading, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903
Roderick DewarPlant Sciences Division, Research School of Biology, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.
Caroline E FarriorDepartment of Integrative Biology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA.
Åke BrännströmInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
Ulf DieckmannInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
Stephan PietschInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
Daniel FalsterEvolution and Ecology Research Centre, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9814-092X
Wolfgang CramerInstitut Méditerranéen de Biodiversité et d'Ecologie Marine et Continentale (IMBE), Aix Marseille Université, CNRS, IRD, Avignon Université, Technopôle Arbois-Méditerranée, Aix-en-Provence, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9205-5812
Michel LoreauCentre for Biodiversity, Theory, and Modelling, Theoretical and Experimental Ecology Station, CNRS, Moulis, France.
Han WangMinistry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2482-1818
Annikki MäkeläForest Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Karin T RebelCopernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Environmental Sciences, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Ehud MeronBlaustein Institutes for Desert Research, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Sede Boqer Campus, Israel.
Stanislaus J SchymanskiDepartment of Environmental Research and Innovation, Luxembourg Institute of Science and Technology, Esch-sur-Alzette, Luxembourg.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0950-2942
Elena RovenskayaInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
Benjamin D StockerDepartment of Environmental Systems Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-9096
Sönke ZaehleBiogeochemical Integration Department, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5602-7956
Stefano ManzoniDepartment of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5960-5712
Marcel van OijenCentre for Ecology and Hydrology (CEH-Edinburgh), Bush Estate, Penicuik, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4028-3626
Ian J WrightDepartment of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8338-9143
Philippe CiaisLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, CEA CNRS UVSQ, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8560-4943
Peter M van BodegomEnvironmental Biology Department, Institute of Environmental Sciences, CML, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0771-4500
Josep PeñuelasCREAF, Cerdanyola del Vallès, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7215-0150
Florian HofhanslInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0073-0946
Cesar TerrerPhysical and Life Sciences Directorate, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5479-3486
Nadejda A SoudzilovskaiaEnvironmental Biology Department, Institute of Environmental Sciences, CML, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4659-2585
Guy MidgleyDepartment Botany & Zoology, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8264-0869
I Colin PrenticeMinistry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Plants and vegetation play a critical-but largely unpredictable-role in global environmental changes due to the multitude of contributing processes at widely different spatial and temporal scales. In this Perspective, we explore approaches to master this complexity and improve our ability to predict vegetation dynamics by explicitly taking account of principles that constrain plant and ecosystem behaviour: natural selection, self-organization and entropy maximization. These ideas are increasingly being used in vegetation models, but we argue that their full potential has yet to be realized. We demonstrate the power of natural selection-based optimality principles to predict photosynthetic and carbon allocation responses to multiple environmental drivers, as well as how individual plasticity leads to the predictable self-organization of forest canopies. We show how models of natural selection acting on a few key traits can generate realistic plant communities and how entropy maximization can identify the most probable outcomes of community dynamics in space- and time-varying environments. Finally, we present a roadmap indicating how these principles could be combined in a new generation of models with stronger theoretical foundations and an improved capacity to predict complex vegetation responses to environmental change.

Indexed as

PlantsBiological EvolutionEcosystemPlant DevelopmentPlant Physiological Phenomena

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.