Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32392224›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2020

From importation to autochthonous transmission: Drivers of chikungunya and dengue emergence in a temperate area.

Frédéric Jourdain, David Roiz, Henriette de Valk, Harold Noël, Grégory L'Ambert, Florian Franke, Marie-Claire Paty, Anne Guinard, Jean-Claude Desenclos, Benjamin Roche

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.2field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 84 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  10. Multiple early local transmissions of chikungunya virus, Mainland France, from May 2025.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025
    Article
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  13. Integrating indicator-based and event-based surveillance data for risk mapping of West Nile virus, Europe, 2006 to 2021.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2024
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  14. Preliminary Bioactivity Assessment ofJournal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024
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  19. A cluster of autochthonous dengue transmission in the Paris region - detection, epidemiology and control measures, France, October 2023.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023
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  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Frédéric JourdainSanté publique France (French National Public Health Agency), Saint-Maurice, France.ORCID 0000-0001-6485-8952
David RoizMIVEGEC Unit, IRD 224, CNRS 5290, Univ Montpellier, Montpellier, France.
Henriette de ValkSanté publique France (French National Public Health Agency), Saint-Maurice, France.
Harold NoëlSanté publique France (French National Public Health Agency), Saint-Maurice, France.
Grégory L'AmbertEntente interdépartementale pour la démoustication du littoral méditerranéen (EID Méditerranée), Montpellier, France.
Florian FrankeSanté publique France (French National Public Health Agency), Marseille, France.
Marie-Claire PatySanté publique France (French National Public Health Agency), Saint-Maurice, France.
Anne GuinardSanté publique France (French National Public Health Agency), Toulouse, France.
Jean-Claude DesenclosSanté publique France (French National Public Health Agency), Saint-Maurice, France.
Benjamin RocheMIVEGEC Unit, IRD 224, CNRS 5290, Univ Montpellier, Montpellier, France.
Santé Publique France · FRCentre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe global spread of Aedes albopictus has exposed new geographical areas to the risk of dengue and chikungunya virus transmission. Several autochthonous transmission events have occurred in recent decades in Southern Europe and many indicators suggest that it will become more frequent in this region in the future. Environmental, socioeconomic and climatic factors are generally considered to trigger the emergence of these viruses. Accordingly, a greater knowledge of the determinants of this emergence in a European context is necessary to develop adapted surveillance and control strategies, and public health interventions. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL

findingsUsing French surveillance data collected from between 2010 and 2018 in areas of Southern France where Ae. albopictus is already established, we assessed factors associated with the autochthonous transmission of dengue and chikungunya. Cases leading to autochthonous transmission were compared with those without subsequent transmission using binomial regression. We identified a long reporting delay (≥ 21 days) of imported cases to local health authorities as the main driver for autochthonous transmission of dengue and chikungunya in Southern France. The presence of wooded areas around the cases' place of residence and the accumulation of heat during the season also increased the risk of autochthonous arbovirus transmission.

conclusionsOur findings could inform policy-makers when developing strategies to the emerging threats of dengue and chikungunya in Southern Europe and can be extrapolated in this area to other viruses such as Zika and yellow fever, which share the same vector. Furthermore, our results allow a more accurate characterization of the environments most at risk, and highlight the importance of implementing surveillance systems which ensure the timely reporting and of imported cases and swift interventions.

Indexed as

Disease Transmission, InfectiousAedesAnimalsChikungunya FeverDengueFemaleFranceHumansMaleMosquito Vectors

Identifiers

PMID32392224
PMCPMC7266344
OpenAlexW3022697976

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.