ReviewCurrent opinion in behavioral sciences2020
Polarization in America: two possible futures.
Review in Current opinion in behavioral sciences, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed.
- Digital twins are funhouse mirrors: Five systematic distortions.Science advances · 2026Article
- A Nation Veering off Course: Implications for Efficacy and Well-Being.Behavioral sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Others Like Me: How Issue-Position Groups Distort the Function of Morality by Manufacturing Consensus.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2026Article
- Partisan differences in health behaviors can impact respiratory disease dynamics.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026Article
- Subjective Stress Appraisals Over Time: the Evolving Structure of the COVID-19 Stressor Scale.Prevention science : the official journal of the Society for Prevention Research · 2026Article
- Application of the Three-Group Model to the 2024 US Elections.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Political ideology and trust in scientists in the USA.Nature human behaviour · 2025Article
- The Problem (and the Value) of Radical Moral Disagreement.Wellcome open research · 2025Article
- RevisitingAmerican journal of public health · 2024Article
- A possible thermodynamic definition and equation of state for a model of political election cycles.PloS one · 2024Article
- Exploring the efficacy of identity priming and message framing in influencing American attitudes toward trophy hunting.PloS one · 2024Article
- Respondents with more extreme views show moderation of opinions in multi-year surveys in the USA and the Netherlands.Communications psychology · 2023Article
- "Flattening the curve": Communication, risk and COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey.Newspaper research journal · 2023Article
- Pandemics and Politics: Analyzing the politicization and polarization of pandemic-related reporting.Newspaper research journal · 2023Article
- Moralized language predicts hate speech on social media.PNAS nexus · 2023Article
- Social media feedback and extreme opinion expression.PloS one · 2023Article
- Enhancing the Utility of the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) to Identify Drivers of Rising Mortality Rates in the United States.Forum for health economics & policy · 2022Article
- Interventions to reduce partisan animosity.Nature human behaviour · 2022Review
- Can the Academic and Experiential Study of Flourishing Improve Flourishing in College Students? A Multi-University Study.Mindfulness · 2022Article
- Political polarization of conservation issues in the era of COVID-19: An examination of partisan perspectives and priorities in the United States.Journal for nature conservation · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The rise of polarization over the past 25 years has many Americans worried about the state of politics. This worry is understandable: up to a point, polarization can help democracies, but when it becomes too vast, such that entire swaths of the population refuse to consider each other's views, this thwarts democratic methods for solving societal problems. Given widespread polarization in America, what lies ahead? We describe two possible futures, each based on different sets of theory and evidence. On one hand, polarization may be on a self-reinforcing upward trajectory fueled by misperception and avoidance; on the other hand it may have recently reached the apex of its pendulum swing. We conclude that it is too early to know which future we are approaching, but that our ability to address misperceptions may be one key factor.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.