Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32390121›Full record

ArticleJournal of autism and developmental disorders2020

National and State Estimates of Adults with Autism Spectrum Disorder.

Patricia M Dietz, Charles E Rose, Dedria McArthur, Matthew Maenner

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of autism and developmental disorders, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 140 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
140citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

140 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Eye Tracking as a Treatment Monitoring Tool for Autism: A Multilevel Meta-Analysis.Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2025
    Pooled it
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  5. Trial
  6. Quality of life in adults with autism spectrum disorder: influence of age, sex, and a controlled, randomized mindfulness-based stress reduction pilot intervention.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2022
    Trial
  7. Subcortical dopamine DEuropean journal of nuclear medicine and molecular imaging · 2026
    Article
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80 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Patricia M DietzNational Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 4770 Buford Highway NE, (MS S106-4), Atlanta, GA, 30341, USA. pad8@cdc.gov.
Charles E RoseNational Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 4770 Buford Highway NE, (MS S106-4), Atlanta, GA, 30341, USA.
Dedria McArthurNational Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 4770 Buford Highway NE, (MS S106-4), Atlanta, GA, 30341, USA.
Matthew MaennerNational Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 4770 Buford Highway NE, (MS S106-4), Atlanta, GA, 30341, USA.

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

U.S. national and state population-based estimates of adults living with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) are nonexistent due to the lack of existing surveillance systems funded to address this need. Therefore, we estimated national and state prevalence of adults 18-84 years living with ASD using simulation in conjunction with Bayesian hierarchal models. In 2017, we estimated that approximately 2.21% (95% simulation interval (SI) 1.95%, 2.45%) or 5,437,988 U.S. adults aged 18 and older have ASD, with state prevalence ranging from 1.97% (95% SI 1.55%, 2.45%) in Louisiana to 2.42% (95% SI 1.93%, 2.99%) in Massachusetts. Prevalence and case estimates of adults living with ASD (diagnosed and undiagnosed) can help states estimate the need for diagnosing and providing services to those unidentified.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAutism Spectrum DisorderBayes TheoremChildComputer SimulationFemaleHumansMaleMassachusettsPopulation SurveillancePrevalenceAutism spectrum disorderDevelopmental disabilitiesIntellectual disabilityModelingPrevalence estimates

Identifiers

PMID32390121
PMCPMC9128411

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.