Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32384282›Full record

ArticleAIDS (London, England)2020

Projecting the impact of equity-based preexposure prophylaxis implementation on racial disparities in HIV incidence among MSM.

William C Goedel, S Bessey, Mark N Lurie, Katie B Biello, Patrick S Sullivan, Amy S Nunn, Brandon D L Marshall

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS (London, England), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 46 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A Review of Network Models for HIV Spread.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

William C GoedelDepartment of Epidemiology.
S BesseyDepartment of Epidemiology.
Mark N LurieDepartment of Epidemiology.
Katie B BielloDepartment of Behavioral and Social Sciences, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island.
Patrick S SullivanDepartment of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Amy S NunnDepartment of Behavioral and Social Sciences, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island.
Brandon D L MarshallDepartment of Epidemiology.
Brown University · USEmory University · USFenway Health · US

Funding

The Brown Initiative in HIV and AIDS Clinical Research for Minority CommunitiesR25MH083620 · NIMH · MIRIAM HOSPITAL · PI NUNN, AMY STEWART · 2008 to 2025
$3.7M
Highly Adaptive Epidemic Control Strategies for HIV Prevention in Drug UsersDP2DA040236 · NIDA · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI MARSHALL, BRANDON DAVID LEWIS · 2015 to 2015
$2.4M
Leveraging Social Networks to Improve Uptake of a Novel Biomedical HIV Prevention MethodF31MH121112 · NIMH · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI GOEDEL, WILLIAM CHRISTOPHER · 2019 to 2019
$37k
NIDA NIH HHS DP2 DA040236NIMH NIH HHS F31 MH121112NIMH NIH HHS R25 MH083620
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIt is unknown what levels of preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) use are needed to reduce racial disparities in HIV incidence among men who have sex with men (MSM). Using an agent-based model, we quantified the impact of achieving PrEP coverage targets grounded in equity on racial disparities in HIV incidence among MSM in an urban setting in the Southeastern United States.

methodsAn agent-based model was adapted to simulate HIV transmission in a network of Black/African American and White MSM aged 18-39 years in the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell metropolitan area over 10 years (2015-2024). Scenarios simulated coverage levels consistent with targets based on the ratio of the number of individuals using PrEP to the number of individuals newly diagnosed in a calendar year (i.e., the 'PrEP-to-need ratio'), ranging from 1 to 10. Incidence rate ratios and differences were calculated as measures of disparities.

resultsWithout PrEP, the model predicted a rate ratio of 3.82 and a rate difference of 4.50 comparing HIV incidence in Black/African American and White MSM, respectively. Decreases in the rate ratio of at least 50% and in the rate difference of at least 75% were observed in all scenarios in which the PrEP-to-need ratio among Black/African American MSM was 10, regardless of the value among White MSM.

conclusionSignificant increases in PrEP use are needed among Black/African American MSM to reduce racial disparities in HIV incidence. PrEP expansion must be coupled with structural interventions to address vulnerability to HIV infection among Black/African American MSM.

Indexed as

Healthcare DisparitiesHealth EquityHIV InfectionsPre-Exposure ProphylaxisRacial GroupsSexual and Gender MinoritiesAdolescentAdultBlack or African AmericanGeorgiaHumansIncidenceMaleWhite PeopleYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID32384282
PMCPMC7368810
OpenAlexW3020945111

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.