Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32381567›Full record

Observational studyAnnals of the rheumatic diseases2020

Does cartilage loss cause pain in osteoarthritis and if so, how much?

Kathryn Bacon, Michael P LaValley, S Reza Jafarzadeh, David Felson

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Annals of the rheumatic diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07402291 (Comparative Effects of Mulligan's Pain Release Phenomenon and Kaltenborn Mobilizations on Pain, Range of Motion And Disability in Patients With Knee Osteoarthritis.), which is not on this map. Cited by 67 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
67citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
12.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07402291 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Comparative Effects of Mulligan's Pain Release Phenomenon and Kaltenborn Mobilizations on Pain, Range of Motion And Disability in Patients With Knee Osteoarthritis.

TypeinterventionalSponsorRiphah International UniversityRan2025 to 2025Enrolled44ConditionsKnee OsteoarthritisArmsMulligan's pain release phenomenon, Kaltenborn mobilization with traction
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

67 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 125 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Single-DoseToxins · 2025
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7 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Kathryn BaconRheumatology, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Michael P LaValleyBiostatistics, School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
S Reza JafarzadehSection of Rheumatology, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1099-9175
David FelsonSection of Rheumatology, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA dfelson@bu.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-2668-2447
Boston University · US

Funding

WORK DISABILITY-- PERSONS WITH RHEUMATOID ARTHRITISP60AR047785 · NIAMS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI FELSON, DAVID TOBIN · 2001 to 2016
$18.0M
Research and Evaluation Support Core Unit (RESCU Core)P30AR072571 · NIAMS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI TUHINA NEOGI · 2019 to 2026
$6.9M
RHEUMATOLOGY TRAINING GRANTT32AR007598 · NIAMS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI FELSON, DAVID TOBIN · 1997 to 2018
$2.3M
Dynamic Treatment Regimens of Physical Activity for Persons with OsteoarthritisR21AR074578 · NIAMS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI JAFARZADEH, S. REZA · 2019 to 2020
$411k
Effects of NSAIDs and non-NSAID Analgesics on Osteoarthritis OutcomesR03AG060272 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI JAFARZADEH, S. REZA · 2018 to 2019
$165k
NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201000021CNIAMS NIH HHS P30 AR072571NIAMS NIH HHS P60 AR047785NIAMS NIH HHS R21 AR074578NIAMS NIH HHS T32 AR007598NIA NIH HHS R03 AG060272
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesAlthough treatment development in osteoarthritis (OA) focuses on chondroprotection, it is unclear how much preventing cartilage loss reduces joint pain. It is also unclear how nociceptive tissues may be involved.

methodsUsing data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative, we quantified the relation between cartilage loss and worsening knee pain after adjusting for bone marrow lesions (BMLs) and synovitis, and examined how much these factors mediated this association. 600 knee MRIs were scored at baseline, 12 months and 24 months for quantitative and semiquantitative measures of OA structural features. We focused on change in medial cartilage thickness using an amount similar to that seen in recent trials. Linear models calculated mean change in Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain score with cartilage loss, adjusted for baseline BMLs, synovitis and covariates. Mediation analysis tested whether change in synovitis or BMLs mediated the cartilage loss-pain association. We carried out a subanalysis for knees with non-zero baseline WOMAC pain scores and another for non-valgus knees.

resultsCartilage thickness loss was significantly associated with a small degree of worsening in pain over 24 months. For example, a loss of 0.1 mm of cartilage thickness over 2 years was associated with a 0.32 increase in WOMAC pain (scale 0-20). The association of cartilage thickness loss with pain was mediated by synovitis change but not by BML change. Subanalysis results were similar.

conclusionsCartilage thickness loss is associated with only a small amount of worsening knee pain, an association mediated in part by worsening synovitis. Demonstrating that chondroprotection reduces knee pain will be extremely challenging and is perhaps unachievable.

Indexed as

AgedArthralgiaCartilage, ArticularFemaleHumansKnee JointMaleMiddle AgedOsteoarthritis, KneeMRIosteoarthritis, kneesynovitis

Identifiers

PMID32381567
PMCPMC10406023
OpenAlexW3021149257

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.