Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32374930›Full record

ArticleArthritis care & research2021

Obesity Progression Between Young Adulthood and Midlife and Incident Arthritis: A Retrospective Cohort Study of US Adults.

Kaitlyn M Berry, Tuhina Neogi, Joshua F Baker, Jason M Collins, Jason R Waggoner, Chia-Wen Hsiao, Stephen S Johnston, Michael P LaValley, Andrew C Stokes

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis care & research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Kaitlyn M BerryUniversity of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis.
Tuhina NeogiBoston University School of Medicine and School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.
Joshua F BakerUniversity of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.ORCID 0000-0003-0799-7563
Jason M CollinsUniversity of North Carolina Gillings School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill.
Jason R WaggonerEthicon Endo-Surgery, Inc., Cincinnati, Ohio.
Chia-Wen HsiaoEthicon Endo-Surgery, Inc., Cincinnati, Ohio.
Stephen S JohnstonJohnson and Johnson, Inc., New Brunswick, New Jersey.
Michael P LaValleyBoston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.
Andrew C StokesBoston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0002-8502-3636
Boston University · USJohnson & Johnson (United States) · USUniversity of Minnesota · USUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · US

Funding

Cardiovascular Epidemiology Training GrantT32HL007055 · NHLBI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Wayne D. Rosamond · 1986 to 2026
$10.0M
Research and Evaluation Support Core Unit (RESCU Core)P30AR072571 · NIAMS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI TUHINA NEOGI · 2019 to 2026
$6.9M
Minnesota Population Center Science and Technical CoreP2CHD041023 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI THERESA LOUISE OSYPUK · 2016 to 2026
$4.3M
Interdisciplinary Population Health Science Training: Linking Multilevel Forces Across TimeT32HD095134 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI THERESA LOUISE OSYPUK, John Robert Warren · 2019 to 2026
$2.5M
The Role of Urate in Knee Osteoarthritis-Related Inflammation, Pathology and PainK24AR070892 · NIAMS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI TUHINA NEOGI · 2017 to 2026
$1.1M
NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007055NIAMS NIH HHS K24 AR070892NIAMS NIH HHS P30 AR072571NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041023NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD095134
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo examine the association between weight change from young adulthood to midlife and the risk of incident arthritis.

methodsUsing data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, we categorized participants into weight-change categories based on their recalled weight during young adulthood and midlife. We estimated the association of weight change and developing an arthritis condition over 10 years using adjusted Cox models. Findings were extrapolated to the US population to determine the proportion of incident arthritis cases that could be averted if the entire population maintained a normal body mass index (BMI) in young adulthood and midlife.

resultsAmong our sample of adults who were ages 40-69 years at their midlife weight measure (n = 13,669), 3,603 developed an arthritis condition. Compared with adults who maintained a normal-normal BMI, the normal-overweight, normal-obese, overweight-obese, and obese-obese groups had a significantly elevated risk of incident arthritis conditions. The obese-overweight group had a lower risk of incident arthritis conditions compared with the obese-obese group and a comparable risk to the overweight-overweight group. Nearly one-fourth of incident arthritis cases, corresponding to 2.7 million individuals, would have been averted under the hypothetical scenario where all individuals maintained normal weight from young adulthood to midlife.

conclusionWeight loss from young adulthood to midlife was associated with a substantially reduced risk of developing an arthritis condition. We found no evidence of residual risk from having been heavier earlier in life. Our findings highlight the critical need to expand obesity treatment and prevention to achieve meaningful reductions in the burden of arthritis.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAge FactorsArthritisBody Mass IndexBody-Weight TrajectoryDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNutrition SurveysObesityRetrospective StudiesRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID32374930
PMCPMC7644635
OpenAlexW3022868856

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.