Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32372535›Full record

ArticlePharmaceutical statistics2020

Estimands and inference in cluster-randomized vaccine trials.

Kayla W Kilpatrick, Michael G Hudgens, M Elizabeth Halloran

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pharmaceutical statistics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Designs for Vaccine Studies.Annual review of statistics and its application · 2025
    Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Kayla W KilpatrickDepartment of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8678-9000
Michael G HudgensDepartment of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
M Elizabeth HalloranCenter for Inference and Dynamics of Infectious Diseases, Vaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington, USA.

Funding

Biostatstics for Research in Environmental HealthT32ES007018 · NIEHS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Stephanie Engel, Rebecca Fry · 1985 to 2026
$31.3M
Causal Inference in Infectious Disease Prevention StudiesR01AI085073 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI HUDGENS, MICHAEL G · 2010 to 2024
$4.5M
Causal Inference in Infectious Disease Prevention StudiesR37AI085073 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Michael G Hudgens · 2026 to 2026
$394k
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI085073NIAID NIH HHS R37 AI085073NIEHS NIH HHS T32 ES007018NIH HHS R01 AI085073NIH HHS T32 ES007018
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cluster-randomized trials are often conducted to assess vaccine effects. Defining estimands of interest before conducting a trial is integral to the alignment between a study's objectives and the data to be collected and analyzed. This paper considers estimands and estimators for overall, indirect, and total vaccine effects in trials, where clusters of individuals are randomized to vaccine or control. The scenario is considered where individuals self-select whether to participate in the trial, and the outcome of interest is measured on all individuals in each cluster. Unlike the overall, indirect, and total effects, the direct effect of vaccination is shown in general not to be estimable without further assumptions, such as no unmeasured confounding. An illustrative example motivated by a cluster-randomized typhoid vaccine trial is provided.

Indexed as

Research DesignCluster AnalysisConfounding Factors, EpidemiologicData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansPatient SelectionRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicTyphoid-Paratyphoid VaccinesTyphoid-Paratyphoid Vaccinescausal inferenceestimandsherd immunityspillovervaccine trials

Identifiers

PMID32372535
PMCPMC8273646

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.