Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32371434›Full record

ArticleRMD open2020

Impending radiographic erosive progression over the following year in a cohort of consecutive patients with inflammatory polyarthritis: prediction by serum biomarkers.

Nathalie Carrier, Artur J de Brum-Fernandes, Patrick Liang, Ariel Masetto, Sophie Roux, Norma K Biln, Walter P Maksymowych, Gilles Boire

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in RMD open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Nathalie CarrierCentre intégré universitaire de santé et de services sociaux de l'Estrie - Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Sherbrooke (CIUSSSE-CHUS), Quebec, Canada.
Artur J de Brum-FernandesCentre intégré universitaire de santé et de services sociaux de l'Estrie - Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Sherbrooke (CIUSSSE-CHUS), Quebec, Canada.
Patrick LiangCentre intégré universitaire de santé et de services sociaux de l'Estrie - Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Sherbrooke (CIUSSSE-CHUS), Quebec, Canada.
Ariel MasettoCentre intégré universitaire de santé et de services sociaux de l'Estrie - Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Sherbrooke (CIUSSSE-CHUS), Quebec, Canada.
Sophie RouxCentre intégré universitaire de santé et de services sociaux de l'Estrie - Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Sherbrooke (CIUSSSE-CHUS), Quebec, Canada.
Norma K BilnAugurex Life Sciences Corp, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Walter P MaksymowychUniversity of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Gilles BoireCentre intégré universitaire de santé et de services sociaux de l'Estrie - Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Sherbrooke (CIUSSSE-CHUS), Quebec, Canada gilles.boire@usherbrooke.ca.ORCID 0000-0003-2481-5821
Université de Sherbrooke · CACentre Hospitalier Universitaire de Sherbrooke · CAUniversity of Alberta · CA

Funding

CIHR MOP-110959
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background/purposeTo evaluate biomarkers as predictors of impending erosion progression.

methodsVariables were measured at baseline and annually up to 5 years in patients with recent-onset polyarthritis treated to zero swollen joints. Erosive status was defined as ≥5 Units in Sharp/van der Heijde Erosion Score; Rapid Erosive Progression (REP) was defined as an increase ≥5 Units in Erosion Scores between consecutive visits. Generalised estimating equations (GEEs) evaluated the effect on REP of positive anticyclic citrullinated peptides (ACPAs) and/or rheumatoid factor (RF), C-reactive protein ˃8.0 mg/L (High-CRP) and 14-3-3η protein ≥0.50 ng/mL (High-14-3-3η), alone and in combinations.

resultsOut of 2155 evaluations in 749 consecutive patients, REP occurred after 186 (8.6%) visits, including 13 (2.2%) in patients recruited since 2010. Only 18/537 (3.4%; 6/411 (1.5%) in non-erosive vs 12/126 (9.5%) in patients already erosive) visits without any positive biomarker were followed by REP; at least one biomarker was positive prior to REP in 168/186 (90.3%) visits. Being positive for all four biomarkers conferred a positive predictive value (PPV) of 30.0% (RR 21.8) in patients non-erosive at the visit versus 35.5% (RR 3.07) in those already erosive. High-14-3-3η increased REP only in visits with High-CRP (eg, RR 2.5 to 3.9 when ACPA also positive) and in patients with non-erosive status (eg, RR from 4.3 to 9.4 when also High-CRP).

conclusionsAdding High-14-3-3η to positive antibodies and CRP improves prediction of impending REP. Although REP is becoming rarer, signatures of biomarkers might help to adapt treatment strategies in at-risk individuals, even those already erosive.

Indexed as

14-3-3 ProteinsAdultAgedArthritis, RheumatoidAutoantibodiesBiomarkersC-Reactive ProteinDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRadiographyTreatment Outcome14-3-3 ProteinsAutoantibodiesBiomarkersC-Reactive Protein14-3-3ηAnti-CCP2 antibodiesCRPRadiographic progressionRecent-onset inflammatory arthritisRheumatoid factor

Identifiers

PMID32371434
PMCPMC7299510
OpenAlexW3023738635

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.