ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020
Past, Present, and Future Vulnerability to Dengue in Jamaica: A Spatial Analysis of Monthly Variations.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Projected impact of climate change on human health in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review.BMJ global health · 2024Pooled it
- The Impact of Climate on Human Dengue Infections in the Caribbean.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Pooled it
- Article
- Designing a multidimensional vulnerability index for supervising dengue cases from 2015 to 2020 in a low/middle-income country: A spatial principal component analysis.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Observational
- Spatial model of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) risk: scoping review.BMC public health · 2023Article
- The Potential of Surveillance Data for Dengue Risk Mapping: An Evaluation of Different Approaches in Cuba.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2023Article
- Climate and health capacity building for health professionals in the Caribbean: A pilot course.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Impacts of El Niño Southern Oscillation on the dengue transmission dynamics in the Metropolitan Region of Recife, Brazil.Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical · 2022Article
- Development and Comparison of Dengue Vulnerability Indices Using GIS-Based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis in Lao PDR and Thailand.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- Impact of climate change on rheumatic diseases: A scoping review.The journal of climate change and healthReview
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Over the years, Jamaica has experienced sporadic cases of dengue fever. Even though the island is vulnerable to dengue, there is paucity in the spatio-temporal analysis of the disease using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and remote sensing tools. Further, access to time series dengue data at the community level is a major challenge on the island. This study therefore applies the Water-Associated Disease Index (WADI) framework to analyze vulnerability to dengue in Jamaica based on past, current and future climate change conditions using three scenarios: (1) WorldClim rainfall and temperature dataset from 1970 to 2000; (2) Climate Hazard Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS) rainfall and land surface temperature (LST) as proxy for air temperature from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) for the period 2002 to 2016, and (3) maximum temperature and rainfall under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 climate change scenario for 2030 downscaled at 25 km based on the Regional Climate Model, RegCM4.3.5. Although vulnerability to dengue varies spatially and temporally, a higher vulnerability was depicted in urban areas in comparison to rural areas. The results also demonstrate the possibility for expansion in the geographical range of dengue in higher altitudes under climate change conditions based on scenario 3. This study provides an insight into the use of data with different temporal and spatial resolution in the analysis of dengue vulnerability.
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