Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32368509›Full record

ArticleMethodsX2020

Elaborating a systems methodology for cascading climate change impacts and implications.

Nicholas A Cradock-Henry, Justin Connolly, Paula Blackett, Judy Lawrence

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in MethodsX, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Advancing Systemic Risk Assessment for Complex, Interdependent Systems: A Research Agenda.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. CONanomaterials (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. New York State Climate Impacts Assessment Chapter 05: Ecosystems.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2024
    Article
  8. Review
  9. New York State Climate Impacts Assessment Chapter 03: Agriculture.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2024
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Societal determinants of flood-induced displacement.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Climate change adaptation and the back of the invisible hand.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Review
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Nicholas A Cradock-HenryManaaki Whenua - Landcare Research, Lincoln, New Zealand.
Justin ConnollyDeliberate Consulting, Hamilton, New Zealand.
Paula BlackettNational Institute of Water and Atmosphere, Hamilton, New Zealand.
Judy LawrenceVictoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

New research is drawing attention to the potential for climate change to generate cascading impacts and implications across linked human-environment systems, requiring closer accounting of these interactions to anticipate the emergence of surprises and feedbacks. However, there is little practical guidance for those interested in characterising, identifying or assessing cascades, and few empirical examples. In this paper, we elaborate a systems-based methodology to identify and evaluate cascading climate change impacts and implications. We illustrate its application using the case of a participatory process with urban infrastructure managers, facing the legacy effects of damaging earthquakes and the prospect of future climate change. The results show the proposed approach and visualisation of cascades as causal diagrams provides a robust and flexible analytical framework. The use of systems thinking, visual aids, interactive discussion and expert elicitation generated valuable information about potential cascades, their interactions across domains of interest, and the implications for management. The process can provide a basis for further empirical application and advance methodological and conceptual development.

Indexed as

Climate change adaptationComplex problemsFeedbackSystems thinkingVulnerability

Identifiers

PMID32368509
PMCPMC7184528

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.