Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32367804›Full record

ArticleeLife2020

Quantification of the pace of biological aging in humans through a blood test, the DunedinPoAm DNA methylation algorithm.

Daniel W Belsky, Avshalom Caspi, Louise Arseneault, Andrea Baccarelli, David L Corcoran, Xu Gao, Eiliss Hannon, Hona Lee Harrington, Line Jh Rasmussen, Renate Houts and 12 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 414 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
414citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
23.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

414 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 616 citations in OpenAlex.

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  14. p16GeroScience · 2026
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  16. Linking epigenetic age acceleration to self-reported daily memory lapses: evidence from the National Study of Daily Experiences.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2026
    Article
  17. A generalized approach for estimating the Pace of Aging.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2026
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  20. Review

354 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Daniel W BelskyDepartment of Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-5463-2212
Avshalom CaspiSocial, Genetic, and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Louise ArseneaultSocial, Genetic, and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Andrea BaccarelliLaboratory of Precision Environmental Health, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, United States.
David L CorcoranCenter for Genomic and Computational Biology, Duke University, Durham, United States.
Xu GaoLaboratory of Precision Environmental Health, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, United States.
Eiliss HannonUniversity of Exeter Medical School, College of Medicine and Health, Exeter, United Kingdom.
Hona Lee HarringtonDepartment of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, United States.
Line Jh RasmussenDepartment of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-6613-2469
Renate HoutsDepartment of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, United States.
Kim HuffmanDuke Molecular Physiology Institute, Duke University, Durham, United States.
William E KrausDuke Molecular Physiology Institute, Duke University, Durham, United States.
Dayoon KwonButler Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, United States.
Jonathan MillUniversity of Exeter Medical School, College of Medicine and Health, Exeter, United Kingdom.
Carl F PieperDuke University Center for the Study of Aging, Duke University, Durham, United States.
Joseph A PrinzCenter for Genomic and Computational Biology, Duke University, Durham, United States.
Richie PoultonDepartment of Psychology and Dunedin Multidisciplinary Health and Development Research Unit, University of Otago, Otago, New Zealand.
Joel SchwartzDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, United States.
Karen SugdenDepartment of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, United States.
Pantel VokonasVeterans Affairs Normative Aging Study, Veterans Affairs Boston Healthcare System, Department of Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, United States.
Benjamin S WilliamsDepartment of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, United States.
Terrie E MoffittSocial, Genetic, and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Duke University · USColumbia University · USBoston University · USUniversity of Exeter · GBKing's College London · GBUniversity of Otago · NZ

Funding

True Metal fac coreP30ES009089 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI MATTHEW S PERZANOWSKI · 1998 to 2026
$44.7M
STALLARD Admin Supp: Predicting Future Care Needs and Costs for Individual Medicare Enrollees with Incident Suspected Alzheimer's DiseaseP30AG034424 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI SCOTT M. LYNCH · 2009 to 2026
$12.2M
Is mental disorder a preventable cause of age-related disease? The Dunedin Study.R01AG032282 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI CASPI, AVSHALOM, MOFFITT, TERRIE E · 2009 to 2025
$9.5M
Air Particulate, Metals, and Cognitive Performance in an Aging Cohort- Roles of Circulating Extracellular Vesicles and Non-coding RNAsR01ES027747 · NIEHS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI SCHWARTZ, JOEL D · 2017 to 2021
$3.7M
Biomarkers of Caloric Restriction in Humans: the CALERIE BiorepositoryU24AG047121 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI KRAUS, WILLIAM E, PIEPER, CARL F · 2015 to 2019
$3.2M
Long-term multi-omics follow-up of the CALERIE Trial to generate new knowledge for geroscienceR01AG061378 · NIA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI Daniel Walker Belsky · 2019 to 2026
$2.9M
Circulating microRNAs in Extracellular Vesicles, Air Particulate Pollution, and Lung Function in an Aging CohortR01ES025225 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI BACCARELLI, ANDREA · 2016 to 2020
$2.9M
Neuropsychological and genomic signatures of violence exposure in childhoodR01HD077482 · NICHD · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI CASPI, AVSHALOM · 2013 to 2018
$2.8M
Molecular and Epigenetic Mitochondriomics of Air Particles, Lead and CognitionR01ES021733 · NIEHS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI BACCARELLI, ANDREA · 2012 to 2015
$2.4M
A pilot study to advance translation of molecular signatures of biological agingR21AG054846 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI BELSKY, DANIEL WALKER · 2017 to 2018
$437k
Medical Research Council G1002190Medical Research Council MR/M008924/1Medical Research Council MR/N01104X/1Medical Research Council MR/P005918/1Medical Research Council MR/R005176/1NIA NIH HHS P30 AG034424NIA NIH HHS R01 AG032282NIA NIH HHS R01 AG061378NIA NIH HHS R21 AG054846NIA NIH HHS U24 AG047121NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD077482NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES009089NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES021733NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES025225NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES027747Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Biological aging is the gradual, progressive decline in system integrity that occurs with advancing chronological age, causing morbidity and disability. Measurements of the pace of aging are needed as surrogate endpoints in trials of therapies designed to prevent disease by slowing biological aging. We report a blood-DNA-methylation measure that is sensitive to variation in pace of biological aging among individuals born the same year. We first modeled change-over-time in 18 biomarkers tracking organ-system integrity across 12 years of follow-up in n = 954 members of the Dunedin Study born in 1972-1973. Rates of change in each biomarker over ages 26-38 years were composited to form a measure of aging-related decline, termed Pace-of-Aging. Elastic-net regression was used to develop a DNA-methylation predictor of Pace-of-Aging, called DunedinPoAm for Dunedin(P)ace(o)f(A)ging(m)ethylation. Validation analysis in cohort studies and the CALERIE trial provide proof-of-principle for DunedinPoAm as a single-time-point measure of a person's pace of biological aging.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAgingAlgorithmsChronic DiseaseCognitionCognitive DysfunctionDNA MethylationFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk Factorsagingbiological agingDNA methylationepidemiologyepigeneticglobal healthhumanlife-course

Identifiers

PMID32367804
PMCPMC7282814
OpenAlexW3022131036

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.