ArticleScientific reports2020
Identification and Prediction of Tuberculosis in Eastern China: Analyses from 10-year Population-based Notification Data in Zhejiang Province, China.
Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers.
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30 citing papers in PubMed.
- Tuberculosis infection and related factors among 15-17 years old teenagers in Eastern China.BMC public health · 2026Article
- The latent tuberculosis infection survey using two interferon γ release assay tests among the elderly in a well-confined rural county in Eastern China.BMC geriatrics · 2025Article
- Long-term impact of COVID-19-related nonpharmaceutical interventions on tuberculosis: an interrupted time series analysis using Bayesian method.Journal of global health · 2025Article
- Predictive analysis of all-cause mortality of previously untreated pulmonary tuberculosis patients complicated by hypertension.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2025Article
- Can greenspace modify the combined effects of multiple air pollutants on pulmonary tuberculosis treatment outcomes? An empirical study conducted in Zhejiang Province, China.Environmental health and preventive medicine · 2025Article
- Analysis of the epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Shijiazhuang, China 2010-2023.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- A hybrid machine learning model for pulmonary tuberculosis forecasting of Chongqing with adjacent-region data.PloS one · 2025Article
- Effect of population aging on pulmonary tuberculosis burden in Zhejiang Province, China: a population-based study.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Analyzing spatial delays of tuberculosis from surveillance and awareness surveys in Eastern China.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Incidence and risk factors of active tuberculosis among older individuals with latent tuberculosis infection: a cohort study in two high-epidemic sites in eastern China.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2024Article
- Spatiotemporal distribution and risk factors for patient and diagnostic delays among groups with tuberculous pleurisy: an analysis of 5-year surveillance data in eastern China.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Tuberculosis incidence in Brazil: time series analysis between 2001 and 2021 and projection until 2030.Revista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology · 2024Article
- Comparison of SARIMA model, Holt-winters model and ETS model in predicting the incidence of foodborne disease.BMC infectious diseases · 2023Article
- The effect of diabetes mellitus on tuberculosis in eastern China: A decision-tree analysis based on a real-world study.Journal of diabetes · 2023Article
- Trend of the Tuberculous Pleurisy Notification Rate in Eastern China During 2017-2021: Spatiotemporal Analysis.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2023Article
- Gender-Specific Association Between Perceived Stigma Toward Tuberculosis and Acceptance of Preventive Treatment Among College Students With Latent Tuberculosis Infection: Cross-Sectional Analysis.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2023Article
- A nomogram for predicting mortality of patients initially diagnosed with primary pulmonary tuberculosis in Hunan province, China: a retrospective study.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2023Article
- Spatial-temporal analysis of pulmonary tuberculosis among students in the Zhejiang Province of China from 2007-2020.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Transmissibility of tuberculosis among students and non-students: an occupational-specific mathematical modelling.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2022Article
- Bridging the Gap in End Tuberculosis Targets in the Elderly Population in Eastern China: Observational Study From 2015 to 2020.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2022Observational
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Abstract
Tuberculosis, a severe infectious disease caused by the Mycobacterium tuberculosis, arouses huge concerns globally. In this study, a total of 331,594 TB cases in Zhejiang Province were notified during the period of 2009-2018 with the gender ratio of male to female 2.16:1. The notified TB incidences demonstrated a continuously declining trend from 75.38/100,000 to 52.25/100,000. Seasonally, the notified TB cases presented as low in January and February closely followed an apparent rise in March and April. Further stratification analysis by both genders demonstrated the double peak phenomenon in the younger population ("15-35") and the elders (">55") of the whole group. Results from the rate difference (RD) analysis showed that the rising TB incidence mainly presented in the young group of "15-20" and elder group of "65-70", implying that some implementations such as the increased frequency of checkup in specific student groups and strengthening of elder health examination could be explored and integrated into available health policy. Finally, the SARIMA (2,0,2) (0,1,1)12 was determined as the optimal prediction model, which could be used in the further prediction of TB in Zhejiang Province.
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