ArticleNature communications2020
Fast response of cold ice-rich permafrost in northeast Siberia to a warming climate.
Article in Nature communications, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
22 citing papers in PubMed.
- Pervasive seasonal divergence in lagged responses of vegetation growth to compound drought-heat stress on the Tibetan Plateau.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Thaw slumps alter ecosystem carbon budget in alpine grassland on the Tibetan Plateau.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Robust increase in observed heat storage by the global subsurface.Science advances · 2025Article
- East Siberian ice wedges recording dust transport variability during the Late Pleistocene.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Discrete ecological gradient in thermokarst ponds in a palsa mire in northern Norway.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Nitrogen Redox Controls on Greenhouse Gas Production in Yedoma Taliks.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Evaluation of the soil microbiome of three raised beaches in the Devon Island Lowland, High Arctic, Canada.PloS one · 2025Article
- Abrupt increase in Arctic-Subarctic wildfires caused by future permafrost thaw.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Permafrost carbon cycle and its dynamics on the Tibetan Plateau.Science China. Life sciences · 2024Review
- Upland Yedoma taliks are an unpredicted source of atmospheric methane.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Thawing permafrost poses environmental threat to thousands of sites with legacy industrial contamination.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Satellites reveal hotspots of global river extent change.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Drying of tundra landscapes will limit subsidence-induced acceleration of permafrost thaw.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Lowering water table reduces carbon sink strength and carbon stocks in northern peatlands.Global change biology · 2022Article
- A globally relevant stock of soil nitrogen in the Yedoma permafrost domain.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Current Siberian heating is unprecedented during the past seven millennia.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Extremely wet summer events enhance permafrost thaw for multiple years in Siberian tundra.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Degrading permafrost river catchments and their impact on Arctic Ocean nearshore processes.Ambio · 2022Article
- Metagenomic survey of the microbiome of ancient Siberian permafrost and modern Kamchatkan cryosols.microLife · 2022Article
- Vegetation grows more luxuriantly in Arctic permafrost drained lake basins.Global change biology · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The ice- and organic-rich permafrost of the northeast Siberian Arctic lowlands (NESAL) has been projected to remain stable beyond 2100, even under pessimistic climate warming scenarios. However, the numerical models used for these projections lack processes which induce widespread landscape change termed thermokarst, precluding realistic simulation of permafrost thaw in such ice-rich terrain. Here, we consider thermokarst-inducing processes in a numerical model and show that substantial permafrost degradation, involving widespread landscape collapse, is projected for the NESAL under strong warming (RCP8.5), while thawing is moderated by stabilizing feedbacks under moderate warming (RCP4.5). We estimate that by 2100 thaw-affected carbon could be up to three-fold (twelve-fold) under RCP4.5 (RCP8.5), of what is projected if thermokarst-inducing processes are ignored. Our study provides progress towards robust assessments of the global permafrost carbon-climate feedback by Earth system models, and underlines the importance of mitigating climate change to limit its impacts on permafrost ecosystems.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.