ArticleJournal of epidemiology and community health2020
A first estimation of the impact of public health actions against COVID-19 in Veneto (Italy).
Article in Journal of epidemiology and community health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Regional Differences in Mortality Rates During the COVID-19 Epidemic in Italy.Disaster medicine and public health preparedness · 2022Pooled it
- Unmasking pandemic patterns: decoding the COVID-19's impact on mortality in Italy with Generalized Gamma overdispersion model.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Sleep Patterns, Social Media Usage, and Dietary Habits during COVID-19 Lockdown in Mexico: A Cross-Sectional Study.Behavioral sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Fitting Early Phases of the COVID-19 Outbreak: A Comparison of the Performances of Used Models.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on psychological health and nutritional habits in Italy: results from the #PRESTOinsieme study.BMJ open · 2022Article
- A Web-Based Application to Monitor and Inform about the COVID-19 Outbreak in Italy: The {COVID-19ita} Initiative.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Prevalence and associated factors of COVID-19 across Italian regions: a secondary analysis from a national survey on physiotherapists.Archives of physiotherapy · 2021Article
- Impact of COVID-19 lockdown in patients with implantable cardioverter and cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillators: insights from daily remote monitoring transmissions.Heart and vessels · 2021Article
- Factors shaping the COVID-19 epidemic curve: a multi-country analysis.BMC infectious diseases · 2021Article
- Excess of all-cause mortality is only partially explained by COVID-19 in Veneto (Italy) during spring outbreak.BMC public health · 2021Article
- Predicting in-Hospital Mortality of Patients with COVID-19 Using Machine Learning Techniques.Journal of personalized medicine · 2021Article
- Limiting mobility during COVID-19, when and to what level? An international comparative study using change point analysis.Journal of transport & health · 2021Article
- Article
- The nCOVID-19 and financial stress in the USA: health is wealth.Environment, development and sustainability · 2021Article
- The importance of sleep and physical activity on well-being during COVID-19 lockdown: reunion island as a case study.Sleep medicine · 2021Article
- The epidemiology of COVID-19 cases and the successful containment strategy in Hong Kong-January to May 2020.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2020Article
- Health Surveillance and Response to SARS-CoV-2 Mass Testing in Health Workers of a Large Italian Hospital in Verona, Veneto.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Covid-19 in Italy: Lesson from the Veneto Region.European journal of internal medicine · 2020Article
- How Large Was the Mortality Increase Directly and Indirectly Caused by the COVID-19 Epidemic? An Analysis on All-Causes Mortality Data in Italy.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- An Overview of Epidemiology of COVID-19 in Macau S.A.R.Frontiers in public health · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundVeneto is one of the first Italian regions where the COVID-19 outbreak started spreading. Containment measures were approved soon thereafter. The present study aims at providing a first look at the impact of the containment measures on the outbreak progression in the Veneto region, Italy.
methodsA Bayesian changepoint analysis was used to identify the changing speed of the epidemic curve. Then, a piecewise polynomial model was considered to fit the data in the first period before the detected changepoint. In this time interval, that is, the weeks from 27 February to 12 March, a quadratic growth was identified by a generalised additive model (GAM). Finally, the model was used to generate the projection of the expected number of hospitalisations at 2 weeks based on the epidemic speed before the changepoint. Such estimates were then compared with the actual outbreak behaviour.
resultsThe comparison between the observed and predicted hospitalisation curves highlights a slowdown on the total COVID-19 hospitalisations after the onset of containment measures. The estimated daily slowdown effect of the epidemic growth is estimated as 78 hospitalisations per day as of 27 March (95% CI 75 to 81).
conclusionsThe containment strategies seem to have positively impacted the progression of the COVID-19 epidemic outbreak in Veneto.
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