Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32358560›Full record

ArticleNature communications2020

Critical slowing down as a biomarker for seizure susceptibility.

Matias I Maturana, Christian Meisel, Katrina Dell, Philippa J Karoly, Wendyl D'Souza, David B Grayden, Anthony N Burkitt, Premysl Jiruska, Jan Kudlacek, Jaroslav Hlinka and 3 more

Abstract readCase Reports
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 87 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
87citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

87 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
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  5. Early warning signals for loss of control in complex systems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  11. Review
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  13. Criticality and increased intrinsic neural timescales in stroke.NPJ systems biology and applications · 2025
    Article
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  17. Utilizing Causal Network Markers to Identify Tipping Points ahead of Critical Transition.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2025
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

27 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Matias I MaturanaDepartment of Medicine, St Vincent's Hospital, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia. matiasim@unimelb.edu.au.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1432-8835
Christian MeiselDepartment of Neurology, University Clinic Carl Gustav Carus, Dresden, Germany.
Katrina DellDepartment of Medicine, St Vincent's Hospital, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Philippa J KarolyGraeme Clark Institute, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Wendyl D'SouzaDepartment of Medicine, St Vincent's Hospital, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1750-5131
David B GraydenDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5497-7234
Anthony N BurkittDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5672-2772
Premysl JiruskaDepartment of Physiology, Second Faculty of Medicine, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4955-8577
Jan KudlacekDepartment of Physiology, Second Faculty of Medicine, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.
Jaroslav HlinkaInstitute of Computer Science of the Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1402-1470
Mark J CookDepartment of Medicine, St Vincent's Hospital, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8875-4135
Levin KuhlmannDepartment of Medicine, St Vincent's Hospital, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5108-6348
Dean R FreestoneSeer Medical, Melbourne, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The human brain has the capacity to rapidly change state, and in epilepsy these state changes can be catastrophic, resulting in loss of consciousness, injury and even death. Theoretical interpretations considering the brain as a dynamical system suggest that prior to a seizure, recorded brain signals may exhibit critical slowing down, a warning signal preceding many critical transitions in dynamical systems. Using long-term intracranial electroencephalography (iEEG) recordings from fourteen patients with focal epilepsy, we monitored key signatures of critical slowing down prior to seizures. The metrics used to detect critical slowing down fluctuated over temporally long scales (hours to days), longer than would be detectable in standard clinical evaluation settings. Seizure risk was associated with a combination of these signals together with epileptiform discharges. These results provide strong validation of theoretical models and demonstrate that critical slowing down is a reliable indicator that could be used in seizure forecasting algorithms.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsBiomarkersBrainElectrocorticographyEpilepsies, PartialHumansModels, NeurologicalRisk FactorsSeizuresBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID32358560
PMCPMC7195436

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.