ArticleThe Journal of rheumatology2021
Flare Rate Thresholds for Patient Assessment of Disease Activity States in Gout.
Article in The Journal of rheumatology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.
- Colchicine Concentrations and Relationship With Colchicine Efficacy and Adverse Events: Post Hoc Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial of Colchicine for Gout Flare Prophylaxis.Arthritis care & research · 2025Trial
- Relationship Between Gout Flare States and Patient-Reported Outcomes After Allopurinol Initiation.Arthritis care & research · 2025Trial
- Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index is associated with flare-related and intercritical inflammatory activity in gout: a longitudinal real-world repeated-measures study.Rheumatology international · 2026Article
- Gout flare burden as a marker of chronic kidney disease risk.BMC nephrology · 2026Article
- The Patient Experience of Gout Remission: A Qualitative Study.ACR open rheumatology · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
27 authors at 15 institutions in 13 countries.
Funding
Abstract
objectiveTo determine the relationship between gout flare rate and self-categorization into remission, low disease activity (LDA), and patient acceptable symptom state (PASS).
methodsPatients with gout self-categorized as remission, LDA, and PASS, and reported number of flares over the preceding 6 and 12 months. Multinomial logistic regression was used to determine the association between being in each disease state (LDA and PASS were combined) and flare count, and self-reported current flare. A distribution-based approach and extended Youden index identified possible flare count thresholds for each state.
resultsInvestigators from 17 countries recruited 512 participants. Remission was associated with a median recalled flare count of zero over both 6 and 12 months. Each recalled flare reduced the likelihood of self-perceived remission compared with being in higher disease activity than LDA/PASS, by 52% for 6 months and 23% for 12 months, and the likelihood of self-perceived LDA/PASS by 15% and 5% for 6 and 12 months, respectively. A threshold of 0 flares in preceding 6 and 12 months was associated with correct classification of self-perceived remission in 58% and 56% of cases, respectively.
conclusionFlares are significantly associated with perceptions of disease activity in gout, and no flares over the prior 6 or 12 months is necessary for most people to self-categorize as being in remission. However, recalled flare counts alone do not correctly classify all patients into self-categorized disease activity states, suggesting that other factors may also contribute to self-perceived gout disease activity.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.