Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32353724›Full record

ArticleThe Science of the total environment2020

Association between climate variables and global transmission oF SARS-CoV-2.

Marcos Felipe Falcão Sobral, Gisleia Benini Duarte, Ana Iza Gomes da Penha Sobral, Marcelo Luiz Monteiro Marinho, André de Souza Melo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Science of the total environment, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 140 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
140citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

140 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. The Effect of Ambient Environmental Conditions on COVID-19 Mortality: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Pooled it
  5. The effect of latitude and PMEnvironmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987) · 2020
    Pooled it
  6. Article
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  10. Association of Weather Variables With Pathogens Contributing to Conjunctivitis Worldwide.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Article
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  13. Review
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80 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Marcos Felipe Falcão SobralFederal Rural University of Pernambuco, Departamento de Administração, Avenida Dom Manoel de Medeiros, s/n - Dois Irmãos, Recife, PE, Brazil. Electronic address: mffsobral@gmail.com.
Gisleia Benini DuarteFederal Rural University of Pernambuco, Departamento de Economia, Avenida Dom Manoel de Medeiros, s/n - Dois Irmãos, Recife, PE, Brazil.
Ana Iza Gomes da Penha SobralFederal University of Pernambuco, Departamento de Psicologia Cognitiva, Av. Prof. Moraes Rego, 1235 - Cidade Universitária, Recife, PE, 50670-901, Brazil.
Marcelo Luiz Monteiro MarinhoFederal Rural University of Pernambuco, Departamento de Computação, Avenida Dom Manoel de Medeiros, s/n - Dois Irmãos, Recife, PE, Brazil.
André de Souza MeloFederal Rural University of Pernambuco, Departamento de Economia, Avenida Dom Manoel de Medeiros, s/n - Dois Irmãos, Recife, PE, Brazil.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this study, we aimed at analyzing the associations between transmission of and deaths caused by SARS-CoV-2 and meteorological variables, such as average temperature, minimum temperature, maximum temperature, and precipitation. Two outcome measures were considered, with the first aiming to study SARS-CoV-2 infections and the second aiming to study COVID-19 mortality. Daily data as well as data on SARS-CoV-2 infections and COVID-19 mortality obtained between December 1, 2019 and March 28, 2020 were collected from weather stations around the world. The country's population density and time of exposure to the disease were used as control variables. Finally, a month dummy variable was added. Daily data by country were analyzed using the panel data model. An increase in the average daily temperature by one degree Fahrenheit reduced the number of cases by approximately 6.4 cases/day. There was a negative correlation between the average temperature per country and the number of cases of SARS-CoV-2 infections. This association remained strong even with the incorporation of additional variables and controls (maximum temperature, average temperature, minimum temperature, and precipitation) and fixed country effects. There was a positive correlation between precipitation and SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Countries with higher rainfall measurements showed an increase in disease transmission. For each average inch/day, there was an increase of 56.01 cases/day. COVID-19 mortality showed no significant association with temperature.

Indexed as

BetacoronavirusCoronavirus InfectionsPandemicsPneumonia, ViralClimateCOVID-19HumansSARS-CoV-2Climate variablesCOVID-19PrecipitationTemperature

Identifiers

PMID32353724
PMCPMC7195330

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.