ArticleRevista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health2020
[Impact of the TARGA Program on the reduction of AIDS cases in the Peruvian health system, 1983-2018Impacto do Programa HAART na redução de casos de AIDS no sistema de saúde peruano, 1983-2018].
Article in Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.
- HIV/AIDS Mortality Trends in Peru: A Natural Experiment of COVID-19's Disruption and Health Disparities (2017-2024).AIDS and behavior · 2026Article
- Epidemiology and treatment in patients with HIV in a secondary-level hospital in Mexico.Revista peruana de medicina experimental y salud publica · 2025Article
- A Qualitative Assessment of "Generacion Actual": An HIV Community Mobilization Intervention Among Gay Men and Transgender Women in Lima, Peru.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025Article
- COVID-19 Pandemic's Impact on HIV and AIDS Case Reporting in Peru: A Time Series Analysis of Surveillance Data (1983-2023).AIDS and behavior · 2025Article
- Comparative evaluation of dissolution profiles of the generic drug lamivudine 150 mg tablet marketed in Peru vs. the innovative Epivir.Revista peruana de medicina experimental y salud publica · 2024Article
- Socio-Demographic, Clinical, and Mortality Differences between HIV-Infected and HIV/HTLV-1 Co-Infected Patients in Peru.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- [Capillaroscopy, microangiopathy, and HIV. Descriptive study of capillaroscopy findings in HIV positive patients].Anales del sistema sanitario de Navarra · 2022Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectiveTo evaluate the impact of the Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy (HAART) Program in the reduction of AIDS stage cases in Peru between 1983-2018.
methodsNatural experiment with interrupted time series design considering a period of 36 years. Cases of AIDS were analyzed according to the year of diagnosis and the policy of universal access to antiretroviral therapy of 2004. Aggregated data from the National Center for Epidemiology, Prevention and Control of Diseases from 1983 to 2018 were used. Linear logarithmic regression was used and the effect of the HAART Program was evaluated with an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to make forecasting of the expected number of annual cases of AIDS, and through interrupted time series.
resultsBetween 2004-2018 there was an annual decrease of 2.60% (95% CI:-3.9-1.2) of cases. The best identified ARIMA model had the components: (8,3,1). The forecasting yielded a total of 32 709 new cases of AIDS for this period, indicating the estimated prevention of 10 280 cases. The time-series analysis showed an annual decrease of 134.21 (95% CI:-160- -108.60) cases.
conclusionsThe findings showed a substantial increase in AIDS cases during the period 1983-2004, with a significant drop in cases after the implementation of the HAART Program. The Program is an effective intervention for the prevention of the number of AIDS cases, allowing universal access to antiretroviral therapy and providing other services such as monitoring tests, psychological counseling and the promotion of adherence to treatment in people living with HIV and AIDS.
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