Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32339235›Full record

ArticleNeuro-oncology2020

A Quantitative Framework for Modeling COVID-19 Risk During Adjuvant Therapy Using Published Randomized Trials of Glioblastoma in the Elderly.

Shervin Tabrizi, Lorenzo Trippa, Daniel Cagney, Shyam Tanguturi, Steffen Ventz, Geoffrey Fell, Patrick Y Wen, Brian M Alexander, Rifaquat Rahman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neuro-oncology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. How has the COVID-19 pandemic impacted clinical care and research in Neuro-Oncology?Journal of clinical neuroscience : official journal of the Neurosurgical Society of Australasia · 2022
    Review
  5. Optimal managements of elderly patients with glioblastoma.Japanese journal of clinical oncology · 2022
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Shervin TabriziHarvard Radiation Oncology Program, Boston, MA.
Lorenzo TrippaDepartment of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute; Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Daniel CagneyDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Shyam TanguturiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Steffen VentzDepartment of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute; Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Geoffrey FellDepartment of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute; Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Patrick Y WenCenter for Neuro-Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Brian M AlexanderDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Rifaquat RahmanDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDuring the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, contact with the healthcare system for cancer treatment can increase risk of infection and associated mortality. Treatment recommendations must consider this risk for elderly and vulnerable cancer patients. We re-analyzed trials in elderly glioblastoma (GBM) patients, incorporating COVID-19 risk, in order to provide a quantitative framework for comparing different radiation (RT) fractionation schedules on patient outcomes.

methodsWe extracted individual patient-level data (IPLD) for 1,321 patients from Kaplan-Meier curves from five randomized trials on treatment of elderly GBM patients including available subanalyses based on MGMT methylation status. We simulated trial data with incorporation of COVID-19 associated mortality risk in several scenarios (low, medium, and high infection and mortality risks). Median overall survival and hazard ratios were calculated for each simulation replicate.

resultsOur simulations reveal how COVID-19-associated risks affect survival under different treatment regimens. Hypofractionated RT with concurrent and adjuvant temozolomide (TMZ) demonstrated the best outcomes in low and medium risk scenarios. In frail elderly patients, shorter courses of RT are preferable. In patients with methylated MGMT receiving single modality treatment, TMZ-alone treatment approaches may be an option in settings with high COVID-19-associated risk.

conclusionsIncorporation of COVID-19-associated risk models into analysis of randomized trials can help guide clinical decisions during this pandemic. In elderly GBM patients, our results support prioritization of hypofractionated RT and highlight the utility of MGMT methylation status in decision-making in pandemic scenarios. Our quantitative framework can serve as a model for assessing COVID-19 risk associated with treatment across neuro-oncology.

Indexed as

COVID-19elderlyGlioblastomarandomized controlled trials

Identifiers

PMID32339235
PMCPMC7197582

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.