Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32336264›Full record

ReviewBMC medical research methodology2020

Bayesian joint modelling of longitudinal and time to event data: a methodological review.

Maha Alsefri, Maria Sudell, Marta García-Fiñana, Ruwanthi Kolamunnage-Dona

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in BMC medical research methodology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  4. Prognostic associations between patient-reported outcomes and overall survival among patients with advanced squamous non-small cell lung cancer: results from the RATIONALE-307 trial.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2026
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  5. Longitudinal FEVInternational journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Maha AlsefriDepartment of Health Data Science, Institute of Population Health, University of Liverpool, L69 3GL, Liverpool, UK. m.alsefri@liverpool.ac.uk.
Maria SudellDepartment of Health Data Science, Institute of Population Health, University of Liverpool, L69 3GL, Liverpool, UK.
Marta García-FiñanaDepartment of Health Data Science, Institute of Population Health, University of Liverpool, L69 3GL, Liverpool, UK.
Ruwanthi Kolamunnage-DonaDepartment of Health Data Science, Institute of Population Health, University of Liverpool, L69 3GL, Liverpool, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/L010909/1Medical Research Council MR/M013227/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn clinical research, there is an increasing interest in joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data, since it reduces bias in parameter estimation and increases the efficiency of statistical inference. Inference and prediction from frequentist approaches of joint models have been extensively reviewed, and due to the recent popularity of data-driven Bayesian approaches, a review on current Bayesian estimation of joint model is useful to draw recommendations for future researches.

methodsWe have undertaken a comprehensive review on Bayesian univariate and multivariate joint models. We focused on type of outcomes, model assumptions, association structure, estimation algorithm, dynamic prediction and software implementation.

resultsA total of 89 articles have been identified, consisting of 75 methodological and 14 applied articles. The most common approach to model the longitudinal and time-to-event outcomes jointly included linear mixed effect models with proportional hazards. A random effect association structure was generally used for linking the two sub-models. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms were commonly used (93% articles) to estimate the model parameters. Only six articles were primarily focused on dynamic predictions for longitudinal or event-time outcomes.

conclusionMethodologies for a wide variety of data types have been proposed; however the research is limited if the association between the two outcomes changes over time, and there is also lack of methods to determine the association structure in the absence of clinical background knowledge. Joint modelling has been proved to be beneficial in producing more accurate dynamic prediction; however, there is a lack of sufficient tools to validate the prediction.

Indexed as

Bayes TheoremMarkov ChainsHumansLinear ModelsLongitudinal StudiesMonte Carlo MethodBayesian estimationDynamic predictionJoint modelsLongitudinal outcomesTime-to-event

Identifiers

PMID32336264
PMCPMC7183597

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.