Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32335405›Full record

ArticleThe Science of the total environment2020

COVID-19 transmission in Mainland China is associated with temperature and humidity: A time-series analysis.

Hongchao Qi, Shuang Xiao, Runye Shi, Michael P Ward, Yue Chen, Wei Tu, Qing Su, Wenge Wang, Xinyi Wang, Zhijie Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Science of the total environment, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 251 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
251citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

251 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A Review of Influencing Factors on Spatial Spread of COVID-19 Based on Geographical Perspective.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Pooled it
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  16. Response of PMEnvironmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987) · 2023
    Article
  17. Seasonal correlation of meteorological parameters and PMInternational journal of disaster risk reduction : IJDRR · 2023
    Article
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  19. Review
  20. Article

191 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Hongchao QiDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, China.; Department of Biostatistics, Erasmus University Medical Center, the Netherlands.
Shuang XiaoDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, China.
Runye ShiDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, China.
Michael P WardSydney School of Veterinary Science, The University of Sydney, Camden, NSW, Australia.
Yue ChenDepartment of Epidemiology and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, 451 Smyth Rd, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Wei TuDepartment of Geology and Geography, Georgia Southern University, Statesboro, GA 30460, USA.
Qing SuDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, China.
Wenge WangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, China.
Xinyi WangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, China.
Zhijie ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, China.. Electronic address: epistat@gmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

COVID-19 has become a pandemic. The influence of meteorological factors on the transmission and spread of COVID-19 is of interest. This study sought to examine the associations of daily average temperature (AT) and relative humidity (ARH) with the daily counts of COVID-19 cases in 30 Chinese provinces (in Hubei from December 1, 2019 to February 11, 2020 and in other provinces from January 20, 2020 to Februarys 11, 2020). A Generalized Additive Model (GAM) was fitted to quantify the province-specific associations between meteorological variables and the daily cases of COVID-19 during the study periods. In the model, the 14-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) of AT and ARH, and their interaction were included with time trend and health-seeking behavior adjusted. Their spatial distributions were visualized. AT and ARH showed significantly negative associations with COVID-19 with a significant interaction between them (0.04, 95% confidence interval: 0.004-0.07) in Hubei. Every 1 °C increase in the AT led to a decrease in the daily confirmed cases by 36% to 57% when ARH was in the range from 67% to 85.5%. Every 1% increase in ARH led to a decrease in the daily confirmed cases by 11% to 22% when AT was in the range from 5.04 °C to 8.2 °C. However, these associations were not consistent throughout Mainland China.

Indexed as

HumidityTemperatureBetacoronavirusChinaCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19HumansModels, TheoreticalPandemicsPneumonia, ViralSARS-CoV-2ChinaCOVID-19Meteorological factorsTime-series analysis

Identifiers

PMID32335405
PMCPMC7167225

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.