Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32332844›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2020

Prediction of Intracranial Aneurysm Risk using Machine Learning.

Jaehyuk Heo, Sang Jun Park, Si-Hyuck Kang, Chang Wan Oh, Jae Seung Bang, Tackeun Kim

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 50 citations in OpenAlex.

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  18. Interpretable machine learning model to predict rupture of small intracranial aneurysms and facilitate clinical decision.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jaehyuk HeoDepartment of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam-si, Republic of Korea.
Sang Jun ParkBig Data Center, Department of Future Innovation Research, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam-si, Republic of Korea.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0542-2758
Si-Hyuck KangBig Data Center, Department of Future Innovation Research, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam-si, Republic of Korea.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4755-6367
Chang Wan OhDepartment of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam-si, Republic of Korea.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7311-7072
Jae Seung BangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam-si, Republic of Korea.
Tackeun KimDepartment of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam-si, Republic of Korea. tackeun.kim@snu.ac.kr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4375-8095
Seoul National University Bundang Hospital · KRUniversity of Suwon · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An efficient method for identifying subjects at high risk of an intracranial aneurysm (IA) is warranted to provide adequate radiological screening guidelines and effectively allocate medical resources. We developed a model for pre-diagnosis IA prediction using a national claims database and health examination records. Data from the National Health Screening Program in Korea were utilized as input for several machine learning algorithms: logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), scalable tree boosting system (XGB), and deep neural networks (DNN). Algorithm performance was evaluated through the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) using different test data from that employed for model training. Five risk groups were classified in ascending order of risk using model prediction probabilities. Incidence rate ratios between the lowest- and highest-risk groups were then compared. The XGB model produced the best IA risk prediction (AUROC of 0.765) and predicted the lowest IA incidence (3.20) in the lowest-risk group, whereas the RF model predicted the highest IA incidence (161.34) in the highest-risk group. The incidence rate ratios between the lowest- and highest-risk groups were 49.85, 35.85, 34.90, and 30.26 for the XGB, LR, DNN, and RF models, respectively. The developed prediction model can aid future IA screening strategies.

Indexed as

Machine LearningArea Under CurveDatabases as TopicFemaleHumansIncidenceIntracranial AneurysmMaleMiddle AgedModels, BiologicalProbabilityRisk FactorsROC Curve

Identifiers

PMID32332844
PMCPMC7181629
OpenAlexW3019062669

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.