Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32327901›Full record

ArticleChaos, solitons, and fractals2020

SBDiEM: A new mathematical model of infectious disease dynamics.

Stelios Bekiros, Dimitra Kouloumpou

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chaos, solitons, and fractals, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Application of an ARFIMA Model to Estimate Hepatitis C Epidemics in Henan, China.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
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  9. Mathematical modeling of the outbreak of COVID-19.Network modeling and analysis in health informatics and bioinformatics · 2022
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
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  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
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  19. Article
  20. Mathematical model for spreading of COVID-19 virus with the Mittag-Leffler kernel.Numerical methods for partial differential equations · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Stelios BekirosEuropean University Institute, Via delle Fontanelle, 18, Florence I-50014, Italy.
Dimitra KouloumpouHellenic Naval Academy, Section of Mathematics, Mathematical Modeling and Applications Laboratory, Piraeus 18539, Greece.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A worldwide multi-scale interplay among a plethora of factors, ranging from micro-pathogens and individual or population interactions to macro-scale environmental, socio-economic and demographic conditions, entails the development of highly sophisticated mathematical models for robust representation of the contagious disease dynamics that would lead to the improvement of current outbreak control strategies and vaccination and prevention policies. Due to the complexity of the underlying interactions, both deterministic and stochastic epidemiological models are built upon incomplete information regarding the infectious network. Hence, rigorous mathematical epidemiology models can be utilized to combat epidemic outbreaks. We introduce a new spatiotemporal approach (SBDiEM) for modeling, forecasting and nowcasting infectious dynamics, particularly in light of recent efforts to establish a global surveillance network for combating pandemics with the use of artificial intelligence. This model can be adjusted to describe past outbreaks as well as COVID-19. Our novel methodology may have important implications for national health systems, international stakeholders and policy makers.

Indexed as

Contagious dynamicsCOVID-19EpidemiologyOutbreak analysisStochastic modelsVirus transmissibility

Identifiers

PMID32327901
PMCPMC7177179

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.