Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32324428›Full record

ReviewHealth affairs (Project Hope)2020

The Potential Health Care Costs And Resource Use Associated With COVID-19 In The United States.

Sarah M Bartsch, Marie C Ferguson, James A McKinnell, Kelly J O'Shea, Patrick T Wedlock, Sheryl S Siegmund, Bruce Y Lee

Abstract readReview
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Review in Health affairs (Project Hope), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 209 papers, 10 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
209citing papers in PubMed, 10 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

209 citing papers in PubMed, 10 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Effect of mobile application types on stroke rehabilitation: a systematic review.Journal of neuroengineering and rehabilitation · 2023
    Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
  7. Pooled it
  8. Pooled it
  9. Economic evaluation of programs against COVID-19: A systematic review.International journal of surgery (London, England) · 2021
    Pooled it
  10. Guideline
  11. Trial
  12. Article
  13. Observational
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article

149 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Sarah M BartschSarah M. Bartsch is a project director at Public Health Informatics, Computational, and Operations Research (PHICOR), Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York, in New York City.
Marie C FergusonMarie C. Ferguson is a project director at PHICOR, Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York.
James A McKinnellJames A. McKinnell is an associate professor of medicine in the Infectious Disease Clinical Outcomes Research Unit, Lundquist Institute, Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, in Los Angeles, California.
Kelly J O'SheaKelly J. O'Shea is a senior research analyst at PHICOR, Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York.
Patrick T WedlockPatrick T. Wedlock is a senior research analyst at PHICOR, Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York.
Sheryl S SiegmundSheryl S. Siegmund is director of operations at PHICOR, Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York.
Bruce Y LeeBruce Y. Lee (bruceleemdmba@gmail.com) is a professor of health policy and management at the Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy and executive director of PHICOR, both at the City University of New York.

Funding

MULTILEVEL SYSTEMS-ORIENTED CHILDHOOD OBESITY STUDY IN CHINAU54HD070725 · NICHD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CURRIERO, FRANK · 2011 to 2016
$15.9M
Early Life Determinants of Obesity in U.S. Urban Low Income Minority Birth CohortR01HD086013 · NICHD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI LEE, BRUCE Y, WANG, XIAOBIN · 2016 to 2020
$3.3M
Virtual Population Obesity Prevention (VPOP) Labs: Computational, Multi-Scale Models for Obesity SolutionsU01HD086861 · NICHD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI LEE, BRUCE Y · 2015 to 2019
$2.8M
The role of executive functions in reading and reading remediationR01HD086011 · NICHD · HUGO W. MOSER RES INST KENNEDY KRIEGER · PI HOROWITZ-KRAUS, TZIPI · 2016 to 2020
$2.5M
Regional Healthcare Ecosystem Analyst for Healthcare Associated InfectionsR01HS023317 · AHRQ · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI LEE, BRUCE Y · 2014 to 2014
$2.4M
AHRQ HHS R01 HS023317NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD086011NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD086013NICHD NIH HHS U01 HD086861NICHD NIH HHS U54 HD070725
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

With the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, one of the major concerns is the direct medical cost and resource use burden imposed on the US health care system. We developed a Monte Carlo simulation model that represented the US population and what could happen to each person who got infected. We estimated resource use and direct medical costs per symptomatic infection and at the national level, with various "attack rates" (infection rates), to understand the potential economic benefits of reducing the burden of the disease. A single symptomatic COVID-19 case could incur a median direct medical cost of $3,045 during the course of the infection alone. If 80 percent of the US population were to get infected, the result could be a median of 44.6 million hospitalizations, 10.7 million intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, 6.5 million patients requiring a ventilator, 249.5 million hospital bed days, and $654.0 billion in direct medical costs over the course of the pandemic. If 20 percent of the US population were to get infected, there could be a median of 11.2 million hospitalizations, 2.7 million ICU admissions, 1.6 million patients requiring a ventilator, 62.3 million hospital bed days, and $163.4 billion in direct medical costs over the course of the pandemic.

Indexed as

Coronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19Delivery of Health CareDisease OutbreaksFemaleHealth Care CostsHealth ResourcesHospital CostsHumansIntensive Care UnitsLength of StayMaleMonte Carlo MethodPandemicsPneumonia, ViralUnited StatesCoronaviruscostCost reductionCosts and spendingCOVID-19DiseasesEconomic burdenHealth policyHospital costsIntensive care unitsPrescription drug costsValue

Identifiers

PMID32324428
PMCPMC11027994

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.