Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32322063›Full record

ArticleNature2020

The projected timing of abrupt ecological disruption from climate change.

Christopher H Trisos, Cory Merow, Alex L Pigot

Abstract readHistorical Article
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 143 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
143citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

143 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Habitat suitability for the soybean aphid,Frontiers in plant science · 2026
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Natural variants ofScience advances · 2025
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

83 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Christopher H TrisosAfrican Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5854-1489
Cory MerowEcology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USA.
Alex L PigotCentre for Biodiversity and Environment Research, Department of Genetics, Evolution and Environment, University College London, London, UK. a.pigot@ucl.ac.uk.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As anthropogenic climate change continues the risks to biodiversity will increase over time, with future projections indicating that a potentially catastrophic loss of global biodiversity is on the horizon

Indexed as

BiodiversityGeographic MappingAnimalsAquatic OrganismsForestsGlobal WarmingHistory, 19th CenturyHistory, 20th CenturyHistory, 21st CenturyRainTemperatureTime FactorsTropical Climate

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.