Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32319228›Full record

ArticleESC heart failure2020

A novel nomogram to predict all-cause readmission or death risk in Chinese elderly patients with heart failure.

Mengxi Yang, Liyuan Tao, Hui An, Gang Liu, Qiang Tu, Hu Zhang, Li Qin, Zhu Xiao, Yu Wang, Jiaxai Fan and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ESC heart failure, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Mengxi YangDepartment of Cardiology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China.
Liyuan TaoResearch Center of Clinical Epidemiology, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China.
Hui AnDepartment of Cardiology, Hebei General Hospital, Hebei, China.
Gang LiuDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China.
Qiang TuState Key Laboratory for Molecular and Developmental Biology, Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Hu ZhangDepartment of Cardiology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China.
Li QinDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China.
Zhu XiaoDepartment of Cardiology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China.
Yu WangDepartment of Cardiology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China.
Jiaxai FanDepartment of Cardiology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China.
Dongping FengDepartment of Cardiology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China.
Yan LiangDepartment of Cardiology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China.
Jingyi RenDepartment of Cardiology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China.

Funding

Central Health Research Project of China W2017BJ30China-Japan Friendship Hospital Scientific Research Funds 2017-1-QN-10National Natural Science Foundation of China 81270276National Natural Science Foundation of China 81770359State Key Laboratory of Molecular Developmental Biology of China 2017-MDB-KF-13
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsElderly patients with heart failure (HF) are associated with frequent all-cause readmission or death. The present study sought to develop an accurate and easy-to-use model to predict all-cause readmission or death risk in Chinese elderly patients with HF. METHODS AND

resultsThis was a prospective cohort study in patients with HF aged 65 or older. Demographic, co-morbidity, laboratory, and medication data were collected. A Cox regression model was used to identify factors for the prediction of readmission or death at 30 days and 1 year. A nomogram was developed with bootstrap validation. Of the included 854 patients, the cumulative all-cause readmission and mortality rates were 10.5% and 11.6% at 30 days and 34.9% and 19.7% at 1 year, respectively. The independent risk factors associated with both 30 day and 1 year readmission or death were older age, stroke, diastolic blood pressure < 60 mmHg, body mass index ≤ 18.5 kg/m

conclusionsWe developed accurate and easy-to-use nomograms to predict all-cause readmission or death in Chinese elderly patients with HF. The nomograms will assist in reducing the all-cause readmission and mortality rates.

Indexed as

Heart FailureNomogramsAgedChinaHumansPatient ReadmissionProspective StudiesAll-cause readmissionElderlyHeart failureMortalityNomogramPrognostic model

Identifiers

PMID32319228
PMCPMC7261546

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.