Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32313142›Full record

ArticleProstate cancer and prostatic diseases2020

Surrogate endpoints for overall survival for patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer in the CHAARTED trial.

Alberto Martini, John Pfail, Francesco Montorsi, Matthew D Galsky, William K Oh

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Prostate cancer and prostatic diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Alberto MartiniDepartment of Urology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA. a.martini.md@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1272-7154
John PfailDepartment of Urology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Francesco MontorsiDepartment of Urology, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy.
Matthew D GalskyDepartment of Medicine, Division of Hematology and Oncology, Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
William K OhDepartment of Medicine, Division of Hematology and Oncology, Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5113-8147
Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USVita-Salute San Raffaele University · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMetastasis-free survival has been shown to be a robust surrogate for overall survival (OS) in men with nonmetastatic prostate cancer (PC). However, this surrogate only holds true for a select subset of patients, and leaves those trials analyzing metastatic disease at a disadvantage. We aimed to identify the best surrogate for predicting OS in patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive PC.

methodsWe analyzed data from the Chemohormonal Therapy versus Androgen Ablation Randomized Trial for Extensive Disease trial in which patients were randomly assigned to receive either androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) or ADT plus docetaxel. PSA response, progression and development of castration-resistant PC (CRPC) within 6 and 12 months were investigated as potential OS surrogates, in accordance with the Prentice Criteria. The proportion the of treatment effect (PTE) was calculated for each surrogate and used to identify the best one.

resultsData from 790 patients were considered: 393 (49.7%) men received ADT alone, while 397 (50.3%) received combination therapy. Four intermediate clinical endpoints met the criteria for surrogacy: progression within 6 months (HR: 5.70; 95%CI: 4.26, 7.64; p < 0.001) and 12 months (HR: 7.09; 95%CI: 5.16, 9.76; p < 0.001) as well as development of CRPC within 6 (HR: 5.11; 95%CI: 3.81, 6.85; p < 0.001) and 12 months (HR: 6.24; 95%CI: 4.58, 8.51; p < 0.001). The PTE for the four surrogates were 88%, 52%, 80%, and 46%, respectively. The 2-year OS rates for patients who progressed within 6 months of randomization were 42 versus 89% for the patient population that did not progress that quickly.

conclusionsProgression within 6 months following combination therapy emerged as the best surrogate for OS.

Indexed as

AgedAndrogen AntagonistsAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsBiomarkers, TumorDisease ProgressionDocetaxelHumansKallikreinsMaleMiddle AgedMulticenter Studies as TopicNeoplasm MetastasisProstate-Specific AntigenProstatic NeoplasmsProstatic Neoplasms, Castration-ResistantRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicAndrogen AntagonistsBiomarkers, TumorDocetaxelKallikreinsKLK3 protein, humanProstate-Specific Antigen

Identifiers

PMID32313142
OpenAlexW3017266355

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.