Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32313041›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2020

Determining organ weight toxicity with Bayesian causal models: Improving on the analysis of relative organ weights.

Stanley E Lazic, Elizaveta Semenova, Dominic P Williams

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 60 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
60citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

60 citing papers in PubMed.

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  10. Active components ofFrontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2026
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  12. Polyphenol-enriched fraction ofFrontiers in pharmacology · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Stanley E LazicData Sciences and Quantitative Biology, AstraZeneca, R&D, Cambridge, CB4 0WG, UK. stan.lazic@cantab.net.
Elizaveta SemenovaData Sciences and Quantitative Biology, AstraZeneca, R&D, Cambridge, CB4 0WG, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8271-2575
Dominic P WilliamsFunctional and Mechanistic Safety, Clinical Pharmacology and Safety Sciences, AstraZeneca, R&D, Cambridge, CB4 0WG, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Regulatory authorities require animal toxicity tests for new chemical entities. Organ weight changes are accepted as a sensitive indicator of chemically induced organ damage, but can be difficult to interpret because changes in organ weight might reflect chemically-induced changes in overall body weight. A common solution is to calculate the relative organ weight (organ to body weight ratio), but this inadequately controls for the dependence on body weight - a point made by statisticians for decades, but which has not been widely adopted. The recommended solution is an analysis of covariance (ANCOVA), but it is rarely used, possibly because both the method of statistical correction and the interpretation of the output may be unclear to those with minimal statistical training. Using relative organ weights can easily lead to incorrect conclusions, resulting in poor decisions, wasted resources, and an ethically questionable use of animals. We propose to cast the problem into a causal modelling framework as it directly assesses questions of scientific interest, the results are easy to interpret, and the analysis is simple to perform with freely available software. Furthermore, by taking a Bayesian approach we can model unequal variances, control for multiple testing, and directly provide evidence of safety.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalToxicity TestsAnimalsBayes TheoremBody WeightChromatesComputer SimulationFemaleLiverOrgan SizeProbabilityRats, Inbred F344Chromatessodium bichromate

Identifiers

PMID32313041
PMCPMC7170916

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.