Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32293367›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2020

Combining national survey with facility-based HIV testing data to obtain more accurate estimate of HIV prevalence in districts in Uganda.

Joseph Ouma, Caroline Jeffery, Joseph J Valadez, Rhoda K Wanyenze, Jim Todd, Jonathan Levin

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Measurement of maternal mortality, United Republic of Tanzania.Bulletin of the World Health Organization · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Joseph OumaDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. oumajosephd@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5249-7440
Caroline JefferyMETRe Group, Department of International Health, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Pembroke Place, Liverpool, L3 5QA, UK.
Joseph J ValadezMETRe Group, Department of International Health, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Pembroke Place, Liverpool, L3 5QA, UK.
Rhoda K WanyenzeDepartment of Disease Control and Environmental Health, Makerere University School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda.
Jim ToddDepartment of Population Health, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Jonathan LevinDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine · GBUniversity of the Witwatersrand · ZALondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBMakerere University · UG

Funding

Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust (GB) 107754/Z/15/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNational or regional population-based HIV prevalence surveys have small sample sizes at district or sub-district levels; this leads to wide confidence intervals when estimating HIV prevalence at district level for programme monitoring and decision making. Health facility programme data, collected during service delivery is widely available, but since people self-select for HIV testing, HIV prevalence estimates based on it, is subject to selection bias. We present a statistical annealing technique, Hybrid Prevalence Estimation (HPE), that combines a small population-based survey sample with a facility-based sample to generate district level HIV prevalence estimates with associated confidence intervals.

methodsWe apply the HPE methodology to combine the 2011 Uganda AIDS indicator survey with the 2011 health facility HIV testing data to obtain HIV prevalence estimates for districts in Uganda. Multilevel logistic regression was used to obtain the propensity of testing for HIV in a health facility, and the propensity to test was used to combine the population survey and health facility HIV testing data to obtain the HPEs. We assessed comparability of the HPEs and survey-based estimates using Bland Altman analysis.

resultsThe estimates ranged from 0.012 to 0.178 and had narrower confidence intervals compared to survey-based estimates. The average difference between HPEs and population survey estimates was 0.00 (95% CI: - 0.04, 0.04). The HPE standard errors were 28.9% (95% CI: 23.4-34.4) reduced, compared to survey-based standard errors. Overall reduction in HPE standard errors compared survey-based standard errors ranged from 5.4 to 95%.

conclusionsFacility data can be combined with population survey data to obtain more accurate HIV prevalence estimates for geographical areas with small population survey sample sizes. We recommend use of the methodology by district level managers to obtain more accurate HIV prevalence estimates to guide decision making without incurring additional data collection costs.

Indexed as

AdultDatabases, FactualData CollectionFemaleHealth FacilitiesHIV InfectionsHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMass ScreeningPrevalenceSelection BiasSerologic TestsSurveys and QuestionnairesUgandaBiasCombiningDistrict Health Information SystemHealth Information SystemHybrid Prevalence EstimatePopulation survey

Identifiers

PMID32293367
PMCPMC7092592
OpenAlexW3026943404

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.