Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32291973›Full record

ArticleCancer communications (London, England)2020

Ki-67 index, progesterone receptor expression, histologic grade and tumor size in predicting breast cancer recurrence risk: A consecutive cohort study.

Yanna Zhang, Yidong Zhou, Feng Mao, Ru Yao, Qiang Sun

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer communications (London, England), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 40 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Metabolic phenotypes of doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity among patients with breast cancer.Metabolomics : Official journal of the Metabolomic Society · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Virtual screening,Toxicology reports · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Yanna ZhangDepartment of Breast Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P. R. China.
Yidong ZhouDepartment of Breast Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P. R. China.
Feng MaoDepartment of Breast Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P. R. China.
Ru YaoDepartment of Breast Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P. R. China.
Qiang SunDepartment of Breast Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P. R. China.ORCID 0000-0001-7584-3107
Academy of Medical Sciences · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay has been recommended by major guidelines for treatment decision in hormone receptor (HR)-positive early breast cancer (EBC). However, the genomic assay is not accessible and affordable worldwide. Alternatively, an increasing number of studies have shown that traditional immunohistochemistry (IHC) can partially or even completely replace the role of the 21-gene genomic assay. Here, we developed and validated a predictive model (IHC3 model) combining the Ki-67 index, progesterone receptor (PR) expression, histologic grade, and tumor size to predict the recurrence risk of HR-positive EBC.

methodsThe data from 389 patients (development set) with HR-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative, lymph node non-metastasized invasive breast cancer were used to construct the IHC3 model based on the Surexam

resultsThe pLR and pHR group could be easily stratified using the decision tree model without network dependence. The accuracies of the IHC3 model were 86.1% in the development set and 87.7% in the validation set. The predictive accuracy of the IHC3 model and Orucevic et al.'s nomogram for the whole cohort was 86.5% and 86.9%, respectively. After a 52-month of median follow-up, a significant difference was found in IDFS between of the IHC3 pLR and the pHR groups (P = 0.001) but not in the IDFS between the low- and high-recurrence risk groups according to the Surexam® 21-gene RS and the TAILORx clinical trial criteria (P = 0.556) or 21-gene binary RS group (P = 0.511).

conclusionsThe proposed IHC3 model could reliably predict low and high recurrence risks in most HR-positive EBC patients. This easy-to-use predictive model may be a reliable replacement for the 21-gene genomic assay in patients with EBC who have no access to or cannot afford the 21-gene genomic assay.

Indexed as

AdultBreast NeoplasmsCohort StudiesFemaleHumansKi-67 AntigenMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalReceptors, ProgesteroneRisk FactorsYoung AdultKi-67 AntigenReceptors, Progesterone21-gene genomic assaybreast cancerhistologic gradeKi-67progesterone receptorrecurrence score

Identifiers

PMID32291973
PMCPMC7170660
OpenAlexW3016013794

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.